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Lesson 1 of 84 min

What this site is and where the data comes from

Three things live here: match statistics, model estimates and verified picks. How they differ and why they are kept apart.

The site has three parts, and it is worth keeping them apart — they answer different questions and deserve different levels of trust.

1. Match statistics — what happened

Goals, shots, corners, fouls, cards, line-ups, referees. These are facts: they either match what happened on the pitch or they contain an error. We do not recompute or improve them — we collect, cross-check and present them.

From this grow the pages for matches, teams, leagues, referees and players.

2. Model estimates — what is likely

Calculated probabilities for results and totals. This is no longer a fact but the output of a computation over historical numbers. The model does not read the news, does not know about an injury announced an hour before kick-off, and has no idea the match means nothing to one of the sides. It calculates what it is able to calculate.

These live in the AI predictions section and on the probabilities tab inside a match.

3. The verifier — what people predict

A section for picks whose odds are captured by the server at the moment of publication and whose results are settled automatically from the match. The point is precisely one: to make an author’s record impossible to fake. More in a dedicated lesson.

Where the numbers come from

Data arrives from a sports statistics provider and is supplemented with bookmaker lines. It is worth being honest about this: every provider has gaps and delays. Match statistics may arrive a day after the final whistle, and for lower divisions they may never arrive at all.

We mark such cases rather than substituting zeros for missing data — “zero corners” and “corners unknown” mean entirely different things and must never be merged. More on provenance and verification is in the article about our sources.

What is not here

There are no “sure bets”, no paid signals from gurus and no promises of income. The site provides numbers and tools; the decision stays with you, and it may lose money.

Next

The densest page on the site is the match card. The next lesson walks through its sections.

See it on a live page

A real page of the site will open with hints on each section. You can stop the tour at any moment.

Start the tour
What to remember

Facts, estimates and other people’s picks are deliberately kept separate. Statistics are what happened; the model is a calculation; the verifier holds picks with locked-in odds.