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Home/Introductory course/I know betting — show me the site

I know betting — show me the site

A short course about the site: where the data comes from, how a match page is built, why trends and referees get their own sections, what the model does and how picks are verified.

8 lessons · ~36 min
  1. 1What this site is and where the data comes fromThree things live here: match statistics, model estimates and verified picks. How they differ and why they are kept apart.round4 min
  2. 2How to read a match pageThe sections of a match page: team stats, head-to-head, trends, referee, probabilities and odds. What to find where, and in what order to look.round6 min
  3. 3Trends: what they are and what they are notRuns across recent matches: how to read them, why a long run proves nothing by itself, and where trends genuinely help.5 min
  4. 4Referees: why they get their own sectionThe spread between a strict and a lenient official reaches two cards per match. How to use referee statistics and what they do not explain.4 min
  5. 5Comparing teams and head-to-headHow to compare two teams on identical metrics, and when head-to-head history genuinely means something rather than misleading you.4 min
  6. 6AI predictions: what the model doesHow the model estimates probabilities, what it fundamentally cannot know, and why its estimate must be compared with the odds rather than taken on faith.5 min
  7. 7The verifier: picks that cannot be rewrittenOdds are captured by the server at publication and results are settled automatically. How to read the tipster rating and why ROI without CLV says little.5 min
  8. 8What to do nextShort routes through the site for different goals: analysing one match, hunting for patterns, following tipsters.3 min