Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
Match Statistics
Goals
303% from average (1.65)
5
2
200% from average (1)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.99)
0
0
0% from average (0.86)
Possession
98% from average (61)
60%
40%
83% from average (48.38)
Corners
106% from average (5.67)
6
8
203% from average (3.94)
Yellow cards
56% from average (1.79)
1
2
94% from average (2.13)
56% from average (5.33)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
79% from average (12.67)
10
10
77% from average (13)
76% from average (26.33)
Shots on goal
69% from average (18.93)
13
9
89% from average (10.13)
Shots on target
90% from average (6.67)
6
2
62% from average (3.25)
Shots off target
53% from average (7.53)
4
4
78% from average (5.13)
Blocked shots
63% from average (4.73)
3
3
171% from average (1.75)
Shots from inside the box
89% from average (10.07)
9
6
96% from average (6.25)
Shots from outside the box
45% from average (8.87)
4
3
77% from average (3.88)
Passes
63% from average (532.6)
337
329
81% from average (403.88)
Successful passes
62% from average (464.27)
289
272
84% from average (325.19)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
196% from average (1.53)
3
0
0% from average (1.79)
Saves
0% from average (2.4)
0
2
59% from average (3.38)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Penalty
19’
Alexis Vega
1
:0
Goal
22’
Jesús Angulo
2
:0
Yellow Card
24’
Manuel Capasso
Goal
29’
Federico Viñas
3
:0
Substitution
45’
João Paulo Dias Fernandes
Federico Viñas
Substitution
45’
João Paulo Dias Fernandes
Federico Viñas
Substitution
45’
João Paulo Dias Fernandes
Federico Viñas
Substitution
45’
Sergio Hernández
Luís André Leite Esteves
Substitution
45’
Luis Lopes
Arturo González
Substitution
45’
Luis Lopes
Arturo González
Substitution
45’
Sergio Hernández
Paulo Ramirez
Substitution
45’
Sergio Hernández
Paulo Ramirez
Substitution
45’
Sergio Hernández
Paulo Ramirez
Substitution
45’
Luis Lopes
Arturo González
The match has continued - the second half is underway
3
:0
Goal
51’
Florián Monzón
3
:1
Goal
53’
João Paulo Dias Fernandes
4
:1
Yellow Card
57’
Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro
Yellow Card
57’
Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro
Yellow Card
57’
Milton Valenzuela
Yellow Card
57’
Milton Valenzuela
Substitution
58’
Everardo Lopez
Hélio Júnio Nunes de Castro
Own goal
60’
Jorge Rodríguez
5
:1
Substitution
62’
Elías Montiel
Víctor Ríos
Substitution
62’
Elías Montiel
Jorge Sánchez
Substitution
72’
Víctor Guzmán
Jesús Angulo
Substitution
72’
Pavel Pérez
Nicolás Castro
Substitution
72’
Pavel Pérez
Nicolás Castro
Substitution
72’
Víctor Guzmán
Jesús Angulo
Goal
79’
Luis Lopes
5
:2
Substitution
80’
J. Serrato
Luís André Leite Esteves
Yellow Card
81’
J. Serrato
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Toluca
16
F. Viñas
9
A. Vega
8
N. Castro
11
Helinho
10
J. Angulo
5
F. Romero
20
J. Gallardo
6
F. Pereira
4
B. Méndez
2
D. Barbosa
12
R. Beltrán
Formation · 5-3-2
Atlas
27
V. RÃos
9
F. Monzón
10
Luís Esteves
15
Paulo Ramírez
58
A. González
5
J. Rodríguez
16
M. Valenzuela
28
M. Capasso
13
G. Aguirre
3
J. Sánchez
12
C. Vargas
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Toluca or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Toluca
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Atlas
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Toluca
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Atlas
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Toluca or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Toluca
46%
Atlas
54%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.55
2.3
Avg. corners per match
10.73
9.38
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.21
4.13
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Toluca: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓Toluca: In 13 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Toluca: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 9
↓Toluca: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Toluca will face Atlas 13.09.2026 as the home team. We don't yet know who will be the referee. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Toluca the odds are just 1.43.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.55
Average CLV
—
Agreement
100%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +8.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
These are the odds for the match Toluca - Atlas 13.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
12
5
2nd half
1
4
Result
13
9
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Toluca
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Atlas
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Toluca and Atlas before the match 13.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Toluca - Atlas 13.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works