Liga MX
13.09 · 02:05
· Finished
Toluca
5 : 2
Atlas
11.48
X4.6
27.9
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.55.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 3.5
1.55
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.7%
exp. goals
3.09
edge
-7.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
15.03.26
1:1
Under 2.5
02.11.25
0:0
Under 2.5
13.04.25
3:2
Over 2.5 won
29.09.24
4:1
Over 2.5 won