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Accrington ST — Crawley Town
League Two

Accrington ST - Crawley Town 05.09.2026 17:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Accrington ST Accrington ST
Position: 19 (+2)
L
D
L
L
D
Finished
3
2
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  'name' => 'Finished',
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  'started' => 1,
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  'finished_successful' => 1,
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  'background_events_table' => 'rgb(139 142 149 / 22%)',
  'display_text' => 'Finished',
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1st half 1:1
2nd half 2:1
05.09.2026 17:00
Crawley Town Crawley Town
Position: 21 (-2)
L
L
W
L
D
League Two
Regular Season - 5 | 2026 | England
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Crawley Town or draw
Most likely outcome — Crawley Town (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Accrington ST
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Crawley Town
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Accrington ST
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Crawley Town
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Crawley Town
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Accrington ST
31%
Crawley Town
69%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.5 1.8
Avg. corners per match 9.54 10.71
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.15 4.43
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
05.09.2026 Accrington ST plays away against Crawley Town. We haven't received information about the match referee yet. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 3 last seasons. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Accrington ST the odds are just 2.2.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
2.61
Average CLV
Agreement
100%
Which team has more corners: 2 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -22%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Accrington ST - Crawley Town 05.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
300% from average (1)
3
2
235% from average (0.85)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (0.64)
0
0
0% from average (1.03)
Possession
81% from average (45.62)
37%
63%
126% from average (50.07)
Corners
30% from average (3.38)
1
4
98% from average (4.07)
Yellow cards
168% from average (2.38)
4
2
87% from average (2.29)
133% from average (4.5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
167% from average (12.54)
21
8
74% from average (10.86)
109% from average (26.5)
Shots on goal
86% from average (11.62)
10
15
127% from average (11.79)
Shots on target
124% from average (3.23)
4
5
135% from average (3.71)
Shots off target
102% from average (4.92)
5
7
156% from average (4.5)
Blocked shots
29% from average (3.46)
1
3
84% from average (3.57)
Shots from inside the box
121% from average (6.62)
8
9
119% from average (7.57)
Shots from outside the box
40% from average (5)
2
6
143% from average (4.21)
Passes
80% from average (313.62)
251
450
131% from average (344.36)
Successful passes
77% from average (199.23)
154
369
148% from average (249.36)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
81% from average (2.46)
2
0
0% from average (1.36)
Saves
105% from average (2.85)
3
1
33% from average (3)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
4’
Charlie Caton
1
:
0
Goal
20’
Danilo Orsi
1
:
1
Substitution
25’
Aidan borland
Donald Love
Yellow Card
30’
Devon matthews
Yellow Card
42’
Farrend Rawson
Yellow Card
45’+3’
Priestley Farquharson
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:
1
Yellow Card
53’
Shaun Whalley
Goal
55’
Charlie Caton
2
:
1
Substitution
58’
Dylan Morgan
Akinwale Joseph Odimayo
Substitution
58’
Dion Pereira
Malcolm Ebiowei
Substitution
59’
Kellan Gordon
Louie Watson
Yellow Card
61’
Klaudio Krasniqi
Goal
63’
Devon matthews
3
:
1
Substitution
66’
Pemi Aderoju
Danilo Orsi
Substitution
72’
Gianmarco biase di
Klaudio Krasniqi
Yellow Card
73’
David Tutonda
Substitution
74’
Conor Grant
Shaun Whalley
Goal
79’
Pemi Aderoju
3
:
2
Substitution
82’
Cole Stockton
Charlie Caton
Substitution
83’
Alex Henderson
Tyler Walton
Match Completed
3
:
2
Formation · 3-4-1-2 Accrington ST
18 C. Caton
23 T. Walton
7 S. Whalley
33 D. Tutonda
39 J. Woods
6 L. Coyle
2 D. Love
22 J. Anderson
5 F. Rawson
17 D. Matthews
1 L. Moulden
Formation · 4-4-2 Crawley Town
9 D. Orsi
8 L. Watson
17 Osman Kamara
25 J. Fourcroy
20 J. Arthurs
7 M. Ebiowei
22 A. Adeyemo
5 C. Barker
6 P. Farquharson
24 A. Odimayo
31 J. Izquierdo

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
17
~
1
1
+4
5
~
1
~
+1
22
~
~
~
+3
2
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
+2
39
~
~
~
+4
33
~
1
~
+3
7
~
1
~
+3
23
~
~
~
+3
18
~
~
2
+3
#
Player
31
~
~
~
+2
24
~
~
~
~
6
~
1
~
+2
5
~
~
~
+1
22
~
~
~
+4
17
~
~
~
+3
20
~
~
~
+1
25
~
1
~
+2
7
~
~
~
+3
8
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
1
+3

Substitutions

#
Player
21
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
+1
27
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
+1
13
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
#
Player
11
~
~
1
+4
14
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+1
13
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
+2
16
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Accrington ST - Crawley Town 05.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 8
4
2nd half 2
11
Result 10
15
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Accrington ST
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Crawley Town
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Accrington ST and Crawley Town before the match 05.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Accrington ST - Crawley Town 05.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works