Accrington ST
vs
Crawley Town
Win
05.09 · 17:00
The author’s pick
Which team has more corners: 2
Odds
2.61
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
High
Result
Win
stake 1 499 × odds 2.61 = 3 911 → net +2 413
+2 413
settlement →
Reasoning
locked Yesterday 11:00 · cannot be changedComputed pick: the model puts the outcome at 42.9%, while odds of 2.61 price in 38.3%. Value edge +4.6%.
Line snapshot
reference — Marathonbetopening
2.62
the line when trading opened
publication
2.61
snapshot saved
now
2.61
settles after the match
The odds were set by the server from the reference line at the moment of publication — the author cannot change them afterwards.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Pick published
Yesterday 11:00
Publication is closed
Yesterday 14:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off
Yesterday 14:00
Result settled
from the match result
+2412.5
Upside
if it wins
-1498.5
Risk
2% of the bankroll
+2 413
Result
credited to the bankroll
Pick outcome
Win
stake 1 499 × odds 2.61 = 3 911 → net +2 413
+2 413
credited to the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.
Author form
12 agolatest
46.4%
accuracy
+0.1%
ROI
2.29
average odds
+1.6%
CLV
TheAnalytic model
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How we verify
01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.