Matches / League Two / Accrington ST — Crawley Town · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
League Two 05.09 · 17:00 · Finished
Accrington ST
home
Accrington ST
3 : 2
Crawley Town
Crawley Town
away
12.25 X3.6 23.11
1 pick on the match 1 disagree with the model

Average odds 2.61.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalytic model TheAnalytic model model 4 rating place · bankroll 2% 2 2.61 high

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 2 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 74.1% exp. goals 2.45 edge +2.3%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

25.04.26 3:3 Over 2.5 won
22.11.25 1:1 Under 2.5
24.02.24 0:1 Under 2.5
11.11.23 1:3 Over 2.5 won