Penafiel - Academica 05.09.2026 16:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Academica or draw
Most likely outcome — Academica (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Penafiel
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Academica
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Penafiel
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Academica
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Academica
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Penafiel
27%
Academica
73%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.35
2.45
Avg. corners per match
10.8
0
Avg. yellow cards per match
5.71
4.33
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Penafiel: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Penafiel: In 6 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Penafiel: In 12 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 7
↓Penafiel: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Penafiel - Academica, the match will take place 05.09.2026. Unfortunately, there is no data yet on who will referee this match. Segunda Liga - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. It has already been 2 season the teams face each other. The most likely outcome is a win for Penafiel, judging by the odds of 2.27.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.16
Average CLV
—
Agreement
100%
Match result: 1
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -5.6%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
348% from average (1.15)
4
1
77% from average (1.3)
Expected goals (xG)
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Possession
90% from average (49.8)
45%
55%
- from average (0)
Corners
37% from average (5.4)
2
4
- from average (0)
Yellow cards
171% from average (2.93)
5
2
100% from average (2)
140% from average (5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
0% from average (11)
0
0
- from average (0)
0% from average (31)
Shots on goal
85% from average (11.8)
10
20
- from average (0)
Shots on target
176% from average (3.4)
6
9
- from average (0)
Shots off target
74% from average (5.4)
4
11
- from average (0)
Blocked shots
0% from average (3)
0
0
- from average (0)
Shots from inside the box
0% from average (8)
0
0
- from average (0)
Shots from outside the box
0% from average (3.8)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (2)
0
0
- from average (0)
Saves
0% from average (2.2)
0
0
- from average (0)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
25’
Iano Simão
Claudio Silva
Goal
36’
Pedro Sá
1
:0
Yellow Card
40’
Hélder Lopes
Yellow Card
41’
Hélder Lopes
Goal
42’
Antonio David Álvarez Rey
2
:0
Red Card
45’+3’
Pedro Sá
Red Card
45’+5’
Pedro Sá
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:0
Substitution
46’
francisco varela
Antonio David Álvarez Rey
Substitution
46’
francisco varela
Antonio David Álvarez Rey
Substitution
46’
Martim Tavares
Jean Sinisterra
Substitution
46’
Martim Tavares
Jean Sinisterra
Yellow Card
53’
Alejandro Carbonell
Goal
57’
João Pinto
3
:0
Substitution
61’
Amadou Coundoul
Ilies Faure
Substitution
61’
Rui Gomes
Kaka
Substitution
61’
Rui Gomes
Kaka
Substitution
61’
Amadou Coundoul
Ilies Faure
Yellow Card
62’
Max Svensson
Goal
71’
Max Svensson
4
:0
Substitution
79’
Ricardo Schutte
Max Svensson
Substitution
79’
Ricardo Schutte
Max Svensson
Substitution
79’
Ricardo Schutte
Max Svensson
Substitution
79’
Joao Oliveira
Marcos Paulo
Substitution
79’
Hugo Nunes
Ricardo Teixeira
Substitution
79’
Hugo Nunes
Ricardo Teixeira
Substitution
79’
Joao Oliveira
Marcos Paulo
Yellow Card
80’
Ricardo Schutte
Substitution
83’
Douglas Borel
Jaime Sánchez
Substitution
83’
Mairlon Ramon
João Pinto
Substitution
83’
Mairlon Ramon
João Pinto
Substitution
83’
Douglas Borel
Jaime Sánchez
Yellow Card
86’
Afonso Rodrigues
Yellow Card
88’
Gonçalo Negrão
Goal
90’+2’
Leandro Silva
4
:1
Yellow Card
90’+4’
Miguel Oliveira
Match Completed
4
:1
Formation · 3-4-3
Penafiel
10
Davo
9
Max Svensson
17
João Pinto
75
T. Alloh
21
Pedro Sá
8
Alex Carbonell
27
Gonçalo Negrão
3
Cláudio Silva
6
Adrián Pica
5
Jaime Sánchez
1
Miguel Oliveira
Formation · 3-3-2
Academica
10
I. Faure
19
Afonso Rodrigues
20
J. Sinisterra
5
Leandro Silva
17
Marcos Paulo
22
Hélder Lopes
54
Ni
3
Ricardo Teixeira
98
Carlos Alves
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
3
Ricardo Teixeira
~
~
~
~
54
Ni
~
~
~
~
10
I. Faure
~
~
~
~
Substitutions
#
Player
38
M. Ramon
~
~
~
~
#
Player
26
T. Soares
~
~
~
~
46
H. Nunes
~
~
~
~
These are the odds for the match Penafiel - Academica 05.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
5
7
2nd half
5
13
Result
10
20
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Penafiel
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Academica
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
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Match prediction value calculator
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Penafiel and Academica before the match 05.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Penafiel - Academica 05.09.2026
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