Segunda Liga
05.09 · 16:00
· Finished
Penafiel
4 : 1
Academica
12.34
X3.1
23.35
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.16.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
2.16
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
79.6%
exp. goals
2.27
edge
-7.7%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
16.04.22
0:0
Under 2.5
05.12.21
0:0
Under 2.5
07.03.21
1:2
Over 2.5 won
18.10.20
1:2
Over 2.5 won