Nigeria - Madagascar 25.09.2026 19:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Nigeria
D
W
W
D
L
Madagascar
W
W
D
L
D
Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification
Group Stage - 1 | 2027 | World
xG 0.00
0.00
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
Madagascar or draw
Most likely outcome — Madagascar (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Nigeria
0%
X
Draw
50%
2
Madagascar
50%
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Madagascar
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Nigeria
0%
Madagascar
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.8
2.85
Avg. corners per match
6.73
13
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.53
5.25
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Nigeria: In 12 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Nigeria: In 9 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 4
↓Nigeria: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Nigeria: Judging by recent matches, Nigeria" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
Nigeria - Madagascar, the match will take place 25.09.2026. The referee appointed for this match is Alhadji Allaou Mahamat. It's doubly interesting to watch this game, since the teams have never played each other before. The match is notable because the teams are playing each other for the first time in the last couple of years. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 15.44 on an away win - Madagascar.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
103% from average (1.95)
2
1
71% from average (1.4)
Expected goals (xG)
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Possession
111% from average (49.36)
55%
45%
150% from average (30)
Corners
145% from average (3.45)
5
2
200% from average (1)
Yellow cards
48% from average (2.07)
1
2
80% from average (2.5)
- from average (0)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
76% from average (18.36)
14
9
75% from average (12)
- from average (0)
Shots on goal
204% from average (10.8)
22
4
200% from average (2)
Shots on target
88% from average (4.55)
4
1
100% from average (1)
Shots off target
340% from average (3.82)
13
2
- from average (0)
Blocked shots
275% from average (1.82)
5
1
100% from average (1)
Shots from inside the box
246% from average (7.33)
18
2
200% from average (1)
Shots from outside the box
109% from average (3.67)
4
2
200% from average (1)
Passes
101% from average (454.78)
460
392
124% from average (317)
Successful passes
103% from average (394.11)
404
327
123% from average (266)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
214% from average (1.4)
3
1
- from average (0)
Saves
0% from average (1.9)
0
2
40% from average (5)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
16’
Ehsan Kari
0
:1
Yellow Card
36’
Geordan Dupire
Goal
45’+1’
George Ilenikhena
1
:1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:1
Yellow Card
57’
Ademola Lookman
Substitution
61’
Moses Simon
Akor Adams
Substitution
61’
Moses Usor
Samuel Chukwueze
Goal
65’
Moses Usor
2
:1
Substitution
67’
Warren Caddy
El Hadari Raheriniaina
Substitution
69’
Taiwo Awoniyi
George Ilenikhena
Substitution
69’
Tolu Arokodare
Ademola Lookman
Substitution
70’
Tolu Arokodare
Ademola Lookman
Substitution
70’
Rijaniaina Nicolas Randriamanampisoa
C. Couturier
Substitution
70’
Nicolas Paul Julien Fontaine
Ryan Ponti
Substitution
84’
Loic Lapoussin
Marco Ilaimaharitra
Substitution
84’
Roman Ferber
Hakim Abdallah
Substitution
87’
Bright Osayi-Samuel
Ola Aina
Yellow Card
90’+3’
Nicolas Paul Julien Fontaine
Match Completed
2
:1
Formation · 4-4-2
Nigeria
22
A. Adams
9
G. Ilenikhena
7
A. Lookman
17
A. Iwobi
4
W. Ndidi
11
S. Chukwueze
3
S. Onyemaechi
21
C. Bassey
6
S. Ajayi
2
O. Aina
23
S. Nwabali
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Madagascar
19
H. Abdallah
10
El Hadari
7
R. Raveloson
11
R. Ponti
6
M. Ilaimaharitra
14
C. Couturier
3
M. Jean-Pierre
5
S. Trémoulet
15
E. Kari
22
M. Acapandié
1
G. Dupire
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Nigeria - Madagascar 25.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Possession and style
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
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We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
14
3
2nd half
8
1
Result
22
4
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Possession and style
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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Nigeria
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Madagascar
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Nigeria - Madagascar 25.09.2026
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Fouls
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
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All outcomes · any probability · any odds
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Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Nigeria and Madagascar before the match 25.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
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Number of events
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10
15
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Nigeria - Madagascar 25.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works