Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 26.09.2026 01:00: score, statistics, forecasts
LIVE · 85'
· 2nd half
Division Profesional - Clausura
Clausura - 12 | 2026 | Paraguay
Estádio Arsenio Erico
Estádio Arsenio Erico
xG 0.00
0.00
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
Match Statistics
Goals
67% from average (1.5)
1
1
83% from average (1.2)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.24)
0
0
0% from average (1.65)
Possession
84% from average (47.59)
40%
60%
114% from average (52.75)
Corners
253% from average (4.35)
11
6
165% from average (3.63)
Yellow cards
46% from average (2.18)
1
1
49% from average (2.06)
40% from average (5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
40% from average (12.47)
5
6
51% from average (11.88)
58% from average (19)
Shots on goal
100% from average (12)
12
14
124% from average (11.25)
Shots on target
93% from average (4.29)
4
4
99% from average (4.06)
Shots off target
119% from average (5.06)
6
6
116% from average (5.19)
Blocked shots
75% from average (2.65)
2
4
200% from average (2)
Shots from inside the box
98% from average (7.12)
7
5
78% from average (6.44)
Shots from outside the box
102% from average (4.88)
5
9
187% from average (4.81)
Passes
67% from average (395.47)
266
418
98% from average (426.25)
Successful passes
70% from average (297.65)
207
343
99% from average (345.63)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
100% from average (2)
2
2
110% from average (1.81)
Saves
134% from average (2.24)
3
4
125% from average (3.19)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
12’
Rodrigo Melgarejo
1
:0
Yellow Card
45’+2’
Rodrigo Melgarejo
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Yellow Card
52’
Luis Ortiz
Goal
58’
Ronald David Peralta Chavez
1
:1
Substitution
59’
Luis María Ayala Bentos
Edgar Paez
Substitution
63’
Lucas González
Ignacio Bailone
Substitution
64’
Richard·Prieto
Josué Colmán
Substitution
72’
Fredy Vera
Luis Ortiz
Substitution
72’
Gabriel Marcelo Camargo
Valentin Larralde
Substitution
72’
Gabriel Marcelo Camargo
Valentin Larralde
Substitution
72’
Fredy Vera
Luis Ortiz
Substitution
79’
Roberto Carlos Ramírez Antúnez
Angel Lucena
Substitution
79’
R. Torales
Cristhian·Ocampos
Substitution
80’
Franco·Pelozo
Hugo Valdez
Substitution
80’
R. Torales
Cristhian·Ocampos
Substitution
80’
Jonathan Daniel Benítez Benítez
Estivel Moreira
Formation · 4-1-4-1
Nacional Asuncion
7
I. Bailone
18
I. Valdez
8
F. Jara
13
L. Meza
10
J. Colmán
15
Á. Cardozo Lucena
29
S. Vargas
5
G. Benítez
22
R. Melgarejo
23
C. Espínola
1
G. Ortiz
Formation · 4-1-4-1
Sportivo Ameliano
9
C. Ocampos
18
L. Ortiz
20
V. Larralde
8
E. Moreira
14
E. Torales
15
W. Rodríguez
19
A. Paredes
22
L. Falabella
5
H. Benítez
13
R. Peralta
35
Á. Sánchez
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Nacional Asuncion or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Nacional Asuncion
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Sportivo Ameliano
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Nacional Asuncion
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Sportivo Ameliano
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Nacional Asuncion or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Nacional Asuncion
100%
Sportivo Ameliano
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.25
2.4
Avg. corners per match
8.71
9.25
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.94
4.38
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Nacional Asuncion: In 8 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Nacional Asuncion: In 9 matches in a row, a total of no more than 3 goals is scored
↓Nacional Asuncion: In 16 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 5
↓Nacional Asuncion: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Nacional Asuncion 26.09.2026 will host the away team - Sportivo Ameliano. The referee appointed for this match is Derlis Benitez. You can view these teams' matches by filtering by leagues and cups, using the "Head-to-head" tab at the top of the page. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 5 last seasons. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Nacional Asuncion the odds are just 1.79.
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
These are the odds for the match Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 26.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
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Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
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Goals
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
7
8
2nd half
5
6
Result
12
14
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Nacional Asuncion
Across all matches
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Sportivo Ameliano
Across all matches
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All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 26.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Nacional Asuncion and Sportivo Ameliano before the match 26.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano 26.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works