Independiente del Valle - Macara 06.09.2026 02:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Independiente del Valle
W
W
W
D
L
Finished
3
1
1st half 3:0
2nd half 0:1
06.09.2026 02:00
Macara
D
D
L
W
W
Liga Pro
2026 | Ecuador
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
Estadio Banco Guayaquil
xG 0.00
0.00
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Independiente del Valle or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Independiente del Valle
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Macara
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Independiente del Valle
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Macara
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Independiente del Valle or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Independiente del Valle
62%
Macara
38%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.6
2.3
Avg. corners per match
9.73
8.18
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.07
4.25
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Independiente del Valle: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Independiente del Valle: In 11 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↑Independiente del Valle: In 6 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 2
↓Independiente del Valle: In 9 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 5
Brief Overview
Independiente del Valle 06.09.2026 will host the away team - Macara. We don't yet know who will be the referee. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2024, 2025, 2026. The most likely outcome is a win for Independiente del Valle, judging by the odds of 1.34.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.03
Average CLV
—
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Under 9.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -5.8%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -9.7%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
113% from average (2.65)
3
1
71% from average (1.4)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (2.33)
0
0
0% from average (1.17)
Possession
89% from average (55.27)
49%
51%
111% from average (46.06)
Corners
65% from average (6.2)
4
6
132% from average (4.53)
Yellow cards
65% from average (1.53)
1
1
46% from average (2.19)
63% from average (3.17)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
68% from average (7.31)
5
11
86% from average (12.76)
68% from average (23.5)
Shots on goal
79% from average (17.75)
14
16
124% from average (12.94)
Shots on target
85% from average (7.06)
6
7
147% from average (4.76)
Shots off target
84% from average (7.13)
6
5
95% from average (5.24)
Blocked shots
56% from average (3.56)
2
4
136% from average (2.94)
Shots from inside the box
99% from average (10.06)
10
7
105% from average (6.65)
Shots from outside the box
52% from average (7.69)
4
9
143% from average (6.29)
Passes
86% from average (439.53)
376
399
114% from average (350.18)
Successful passes
83% from average (378.87)
313
330
122% from average (271.06)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
280% from average (1.07)
3
2
200% from average (1)
Saves
329% from average (2.13)
7
3
150% from average (2)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
3’
Djorkaeff Reascos
1
:0
Goal
8’
Djorkaeff Reascos
2
:0
Goal
10’
Djorkaeff Reascos
3
:0
Goal
15’
Ronald Briones
4
:0
Substitution
32’
Jairo Jimenez
S. Etchebarne
Yellow Card
38’
Junior Sornoza
Substitution
45’
Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
Luca Agustín Ferro
Substitution
45’
Jordán Josué Mohor Nazareno
Luis Loor
Substitution
45’
Jordán Josué Mohor Nazareno
Luis Loor
Substitution
45’
Martín Alejandro Tello Escobar
Luca Agustín Ferro
The match has continued - the second half is underway
4
:0
Yellow Card
66’
Franco Posse
Substitution
70’
Hugo Quintana
Jordy Alcivar
Substitution
70’
Junior Sornoza
Ronald Briones
Substitution
70’
Aron Rodríguez
Edwin Quintero
Substitution
70’
Aron Rodríguez
Edwin Quintero
Substitution
70’
Hugo Quintana
Jordy Alcivar
Substitution
70’
Junior Sornoza
Ronald Briones
Substitution
70’
Aron Rodríguez
Edwin Quintero
Substitution
70’
Hugo Quintana
Jordy Alcivar
Substitution
70’
Junior Sornoza
Ronald Briones
Substitution
70’
Junior Sornoza
Ronald Briones
Substitution
70’
Aron Rodríguez
Edwin Quintero
Substitution
70’
Hugo Quintana
Jordy Alcivar
Substitution
70’
M. Viera
J. Klinger
Substitution
70’
M. Viera
J. Klinger
Substitution
70’
M. Viera
J. Klinger
Substitution
70’
M. Viera
J. Klinger
Own goal
75’
Andy Velasco
4
:1
Substitution
75’
Carlos González
Djorkaeff Reascos
Substitution
77’
Richard Schunke
Andy Velasco
Match Completed
3
:1
Formation · 3-1-3-2
Independiente del Valle
99
D. Reasco
16
R. Briones
11
M. Perelló
8
Y. Ochoa
56
E. Quintero
6
J. Alcívar
15
G. Cortéz
33
Andy René Velasco García
4
J. Espinoza
1
A. Quintana
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Macara
9
F. Posse
87
J. Klinger
22
L. Ferro
28
A. Campana
16
J. Cazares
5
J. Estacio
13
L. Ayala
14
J. Marrufo
21
S. Etchebarne
25
J. Bolaños
1
R. Rodriguez
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Independiente del Valle - Macara 06.09.2026
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Statistics by half
1st half
9
7
2nd half
5
9
Result
14
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Macara
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Independiente del Valle and Macara before the match 06.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Independiente del Valle - Macara 06.09.2026
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