Independiente del Valle
vs
Macara
Loss
06.09 · 02:00
The author’s pick
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
Odds
2.14
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Low
Result
Loss
stake 979 lost · odds of 2.14 did not come in
−979
settlement →
Reasoning
locked Yesterday 13:30 · cannot be changedComputed pick: the model puts the outcome at 47.9%, while odds of 2.14 price in 46.7%. Value edge +1.2%.
Line snapshot
reference — Pinnacleopening
2.00
the line when trading opened
publication
2.14
snapshot saved
now
2.15
settles after the match
The odds were set by the server from the reference line at the moment of publication — the author cannot change them afterwards.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Pick published
Yesterday 13:30
Publication is closed
Yesterday 23:00 · at kick-off
Kick-off
Yesterday 23:00
Result settled
from the match result
+1116.72
Upside
if it wins
-979.28
Risk
2% of the bankroll
−979
Result
deducted from the bankroll
Pick outcome
Loss
stake 979 lost · odds of 2.14 did not come in
−979
deducted from the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.
Author form
12 agolatest
54.6%
accuracy
-0%
ROI
1.92
average odds
+1.8%
CLV
TheAnalyticT model
activeGoal totals
free
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How we verify
01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.