Coppa Italia
Round of 32 | 2026 | Italy
Stadio Danilo Martelli
Stadio Danilo Martelli
xG 0.00
0.00
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Palermo or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Palermo
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Mantova
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Palermo
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Mantova
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Palermo or draw and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Palermo
0%
Mantova
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.65
3.35
Avg. corners per match
9.33
8.83
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.33
5.58
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Palermo: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Palermo: In 7 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↓Palermo: In 9 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 4
↓Palermo: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Palermo - Mantova, match from 03.09.2026. This match will be officiated by Davide Di Marco, Italy. Serie B - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. It has already been 2 season the teams face each other. The most likely outcome is a win for Palermo, judging by the odds of 1.63.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.16
Average CLV
-0.92%
Agreement
100%
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -13.1%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
313% from average (1.6)
5
2
91% from average (2.2)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.57)
0
0
0% from average (1.39)
Possession
87% from average (50.5)
44%
56%
116% from average (48.25)
Corners
67% from average (4.5)
3
2
54% from average (3.67)
Yellow cards
43% from average (2.33)
1
2
92% from average (2.17)
86% from average (3.5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
61% from average (14.83)
9
14
87% from average (16.08)
81% from average (28.3)
Shots on goal
88% from average (14.75)
13
13
96% from average (13.5)
Shots on target
183% from average (4.92)
9
8
152% from average (5.25)
Shots off target
54% from average (5.58)
3
5
92% from average (5.42)
Blocked shots
24% from average (4.25)
1
0
0% from average (2.83)
Shots from inside the box
84% from average (9.5)
8
7
88% from average (8)
Shots from outside the box
95% from average (5.25)
5
6
109% from average (5.5)
Passes
89% from average (378.58)
338
440
113% from average (388.75)
Successful passes
84% from average (304.5)
257
366
120% from average (306)
Pass accuracy
95% from average (79.92)
76%
83%
107% from average (77.83)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
141% from average (1.42)
2
6
267% from average (2.25)
Saves
225% from average (2.67)
6
4
178% from average (2.25)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
9’
G. Strefezza
1
:0
Substitution
14’
R. Kouda
S. Trimboli
Yellow Card
43’
Rareș Ilie
Penalty
45’
A. Palumbo
2
:0
Goal
45’
Ettore Gliozzi
2
:1
Substitution
45’
Dennis Johnsen
Gabriel Strefezza
Substitution
45’
Dennis Johnsen
Gabriel Strefezza
Substitution
45’
Dennis Johnsen
Gabriel Strefezza
Substitution
45’
Jonathan Silva Pertinhes
Federico Chinetti
Substitution
45’
Francesco Ruocco
Ismael Cajazzo
Substitution
45’
Francesco Ruocco
Ismael Cajazzo
Substitution
45’
Jonathan Silva Pertinhes
Federico Chinetti
Substitution
45’
Francesco Ruocco
Ismael Cajazzo
Substitution
45’
Jonathan Silva Pertinhes
Federico Chinetti
Penalty
45’+6’
Antonio Palumbo
3
:1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
3
:1
Substitution
46’
D. Johnsen
G. Strefezza
Substitution
46’
F. Ruocco
I. Cajazzo
Substitution
46’
J. Silva
F. Chinetti
Goal
52’
F. Ruocco
3
:2
Goal
55’
R. Kouda
3
:3
Yellow Card
58’
Alessandro Gabrielloni
Yellow Card
59’
Alessandro Gabrielloni
Substitution
60’
V. Vlahovic
E. Gliozzi
Substitution
61’
Joel Pohjanpalo
Alessandro Gabrielloni
Substitution
61’
Hernani
A. Palumbo
Substitution
61’
Patryk Peda
Giangiacomo Magnani
Substitution
61’
Hernani
Antonio Palumbo
Substitution
61’
Joel Pohjanpalo
Alessandro Gabrielloni
Substitution
61’
P. Peda
G. Magnani
Substitution
61’
J. Pohjanpalo
A. Gabrielloni
Substitution
61’
Hernani
Antonio Palumbo
Substitution
61’
Patryk Peda
Giangiacomo Magnani
Yellow Card
62’
Francesco Ruocco
Goal
70’
J. Pohjanpalo
4
:3
Substitution
73’
J. Segre
C. Gomes
Substitution
77’
Bodin Tomašević
Tommaso Del Lungo
Substitution
77’
B. Tomasevic
T. Del Lungo
Goal
89’
D. Johnsen
5
:3
Goal
90’
J. Pohjanpalo
6
:3
Goal
90’+5’
Joel Pohjanpalo
7
:3
Match Completed
5
:2
Formation · 4-1-4-1
Palermo
99
A. Gabrielloni
9
D. Vavassori
6
C. Gomes
5
A. Palumbo
7
G. Strefezza
24
N. Estevez
33
A. Bozzolan
93
F. Barba
96
G. Magnani
84
T. Cassandro
14
M. Fortin
Formation · 3-4-2-1
Mantova
9
E. Gliozzi
8
R. Ilie
71
F. Chinetti
50
F. Benaissa-Yahia
25
L. Ignacchiti
21
S. Trimboli
11
I. Cajazzo
27
A. Castellini
29
S. Cella
58
T. Del Lungo
22
F. Bardi
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Palermo - Mantova 03.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Number of events
5
10
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
7
5
2nd half
6
8
Result
13
13
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
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Palermo
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Mantova
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Palermo - Mantova 03.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Bet365
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Match prediction value calculator
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Palermo and Mantova before the match 03.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Palermo - Mantova 03.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works