Coppa Italia
03.09 · 19:00
· Finished
Palermo
5 : 2
Mantova
11.67
X4.1
25.5
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.16.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 1.5
2.16
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.8%
exp. goals
2.50
edge
-3.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
04.03.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
11.01.26
1:1
Under 2.5
16.02.25
2:2
Over 2.5 won
30.10.24
0:0
Under 2.5