Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Benfica
Most likely outcome — Benfica (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Aarhus
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Benfica
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Aarhus
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Benfica
Under 4.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : Benfica and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Aarhus
0%
Benfica
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.2
3.85
Avg. corners per match
10.86
11
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.57
4.83
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Aarhus: In 7 matches in a row, a total of no less than 3 goals is scored
↓Aarhus: In 8 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↑Aarhus: In 5 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 1
↓Aarhus: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 6
Brief Overview
Aarhus 27.08.2026 will host the away team - Benfica. This match will be officiated by Daniel Siebert, Germany. Only UEFA Europa League can provide information for an accurate match analysis - since it is the only context in which we could see head-to-head meetings between the teams. The teams don't have many head-to-head meetings yet - they have only played each other for one season.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.65
Average CLV
+0.61%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -8.1%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
57% from average (1.75)
1
3
107% from average (2.8)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.87)
0
0
0% from average (2.38)
Possession
83% from average (50.57)
42%
58%
94% from average (61.6)
Corners
53% from average (5.71)
3
5
57% from average (8.7)
Yellow cards
140% from average (1.43)
2
0
0% from average (1.75)
54% from average (3.71)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
97% from average (11.29)
11
9
76% from average (11.9)
95% from average (21.13)
Shots on goal
0% from average (15.62)
0
0
0% from average (19.13)
Shots on target
61% from average (4.93)
3
8
105% from average (7.6)
Shots off target
19% from average (5.14)
1
7
101% from average (6.9)
Blocked shots
86% from average (4.64)
4
0
0% from average (6.4)
Shots from inside the box
0% from average (9.77)
0
0
0% from average (14.5)
Shots from outside the box
0% from average (5.85)
0
0
0% from average (4.63)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (0.86)
0
0
0% from average (2)
Saves
0% from average (3.77)
0
0
0% from average (2.88)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
19’
G. Prestianni
0
:1
Yellow Card
22’
E. Barrenechea
Yellow Card
25’
Mouhammade Camara
Yellow Card
45’
Rasmus Carstensen
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:1
Substitution
46’
S. Tchamche
J. Serra
Goal
55’
Rafa Silva
0
:2
Goal
56’
Rafa Silva
0
:3
Goal
60’
R. Carstensen
1
:3
Goal
61’
G. Prestianni
1
:4
Substitution
62’
M. Knudsen
K. Arnstad
Substitution
62’
S. Jorgensen
M. Anderson
Substitution
63’
M. Knudsen
K. Arnstad
Substitution
65’
G. Moreira
G. Sudakov
Substitution
65’
A. Schjelderup
Rafa Silva
Substitution
65’
G. Moreira
G. Sudakov
Substitution
65’
A. Schjelderup
Rafa Silva
Substitution
66’
S. Jorgensen
M. Anderson
Substitution
69’
C. Rosler
L. Callo
Substitution
74’
D. Lukebakio
G. Prestianni
Substitution
74’
J. Duran
V. Pavlidis
Substitution
74’
J. Duran
V. Pavlidis
Substitution
74’
D. Lukebakio
G. Prestianni
Substitution
83’
A. Circati
C. Lenglet
Substitution
83’
A. Circati
C. Lenglet
Substitution
83’
F. Emmery
G. Links
Substitution
83’
F. Emmery
G. Links
Substitution
84’
J. Duran
V. Pavlidis
Substitution
84’
A. Circati
C. Lenglet
Match Completed
1
:3
Formation · 3-6-2
Aarhus
13
J. Serra
31
T. Bech
11
G. Links
23
M. Anderson
10
Kristian Arnstad
10
K. Arnstad
16
J. Jonsson
29
R. Carstensen
44
M. Camara
33
L. Callo
26
J. Andersen
21
M. Hedenstad
Formation · 4-1-3-2
Benfica
25
G. Prestianni
14
V. Pavlidis
27
Rafa Silva
10
G. Sudakov
18
L. Barreiro
5
E. Barrenechea
26
S. Dahl
2
C. Lenglet
44
T. Araujo
6
A. Bah
24
S. Soares
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Sample source
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Attack
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
-
-
2nd half
-
-
Result
3
8
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Aarhus
Across all matches
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Benfica
Across all matches
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All outcomes
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Aarhus - Benfica 27.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Aarhus and Benfica before the match 27.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
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Number of events
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Aarhus - Benfica 27.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works