UEFA Europa League
27.08 · 21:00
· Finished
Aarhus
1 : 3
Benfica
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.65.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 10.5
1.65
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
82.9%
exp. goals
3.07
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
20.08.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won