League Cup
Round of 64 | 2026 | England
Stamford Bridge
Stamford Bridge
xG 3.19
0.50
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
Chelsea or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Chelsea
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Luton
0%
Totals prediction
Total · Luton
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Chelsea or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Chelsea
0%
Luton
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.35
3.5
Avg. corners per match
9.78
10.57
Avg. yellow cards per match
5
4.29
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Chelsea: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Chelsea: In 6 matches in a row, a total of no more than 6 goals is scored
↓Chelsea: In 7 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 5
↓Chelsea: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Chelsea 27.08.2026 will host the away team - Luton. The referee appointed for this match is Elliot Bell, England. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2023.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.83
Average CLV
-19.74%
Agreement
100%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +9.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
125% from average (1.6)
2
0
0% from average (2.3)
Expected goals (xG)
213% from average (1.5)
3.19
0.5
23% from average (2.14)
Possession
120% from average (55)
66%
34%
65% from average (52.71)
Corners
147% from average (6.11)
9
3
47% from average (6.36)
Yellow cards
0% from average (2.63)
0
1
52% from average (1.93)
26% from average (3.85)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
111% from average (9.89)
11
6
54% from average (11.07)
75% from average (22.7)
Shots on goal
180% from average (14.44)
26
7
45% from average (15.57)
Shots on target
146% from average (4.78)
7
1
20% from average (5.07)
Shots off target
236% from average (4.67)
11
5
81% from average (6.14)
Blocked shots
160% from average (5)
8
1
23% from average (4.36)
Shots from inside the box
219% from average (8.67)
19
4
34% from average (11.79)
Shots from outside the box
121% from average (5.78)
7
3
79% from average (3.79)
Passes
132% from average (525.33)
696
364
90% from average (406.14)
Successful passes
140% from average (458.67)
641
295
92% from average (321.93)
Pass accuracy
106% from average (86.44)
92%
81%
104% from average (78.14)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
100% from average (2)
2
0
0% from average (2.07)
Saves
36% from average (2.78)
1
6
221% from average (2.71)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
46’
J. Richards
G. Kodua
Goal
50’
D. Welbeck
1
:0
Yellow Card
56’
Joe Johnson
Substitution
61’
H. Fox
E. Lawrence
Substitution
61’
I. Jones
B. Benagr
Substitution
61’
I. Jones
B. Benagr
Substitution
61’
H. Fox
E. Lawrence
Substitution
67’
P. Neto
R. James
Substitution
67’
J. Hato
M. Gusto
Substitution
67’
J. Hato
M. Gusto
Substitution
67’
P. Neto
R. James
Substitution
68’
R. Lavia
M. Rogers
Substitution
73’
Joao Pedro
D. Welbeck
Substitution
78’
N. Wells
C. Marshall
Substitution
78’
D. Cole
K. Palmer
Substitution
78’
D. Cole
K. Palmer
Substitution
78’
N. Wells
C. Marshall
Goal
79’
Estevao
2
:0
Own goal
79’
H. Odoffin
3
:0
Substitution
80’
J. Gittens
Estêvão
Match Completed
2
:0
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Chelsea
18
D. Welbeck
17
M. Rogers
10
C. Palmer
41
Estêvão
4
V. Barco
24
R. James
29
P. Chavarria
5
M. Lacroix
34
J. Acheampong
27
M. Gusto
39
M. Penders
Formation · 6-4-1
Luton
9
C. Marshall
11
E. Lawrence
45
K. Palmer
8
L. Walsh
30
G. Kodua
31
Benedict Benagr
31
B. Benagr
12
J. Johnson
6
G. Johnston
2
H. Odoffin
33
H. Ashby
24
J. Keeley
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
31
B. Benagr
~
~
~
~
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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Number of events
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
17
3
2nd half
9
4
Result
26
7
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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Chelsea
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Luton
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Chelsea - Luton 27.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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10
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Chelsea and Luton before the match 27.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Chelsea - Luton 27.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works