AEK Athens FC - Aris Thessalonikis 05.09.2026 21:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
AEK Athens FC or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
AEK Athens FC
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Aris Thessalonikis
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · AEK Athens FC
Under 4.5
home team's goals
Total · Aris Thessalonikis
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : AEK Athens FC or draw and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
AEK Athens FC
100%
Aris Thessalonikis
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.6
2.8
Avg. corners per match
7
8.93
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.57
5.71
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓AEK Athens FC: In 9 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓AEK Athens FC: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 7
↓AEK Athens FC: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓AEK Athens FC: Judging by recent matches, AEK Athens FC" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
Aris Thessalonikis will play away against AEK Athens FC 05.09.2026. This match will be officiated by A. Tsakalidis. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 8.18 on an away win - Aris Thessalonikis.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.90
Average CLV
—
Agreement
100%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -9.9%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
256% from average (1.95)
5
0
0% from average (1.6)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.43)
0
0
0% from average (1.39)
Possession
109% from average (55)
60%
40%
80% from average (49.86)
Corners
43% from average (4.63)
2
2
35% from average (5.71)
Yellow cards
74% from average (2.71)
2
0
0% from average (3.07)
36% from average (5.5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
97% from average (16.5)
16
17
100% from average (17)
111% from average (29.8)
Shots on goal
144% from average (14.63)
21
7
44% from average (15.86)
Shots on target
186% from average (5.38)
10
2
40% from average (5)
Shots off target
147% from average (6.13)
9
4
76% from average (5.29)
Blocked shots
62% from average (3.25)
2
1
18% from average (5.57)
Shots from inside the box
191% from average (8.38)
16
3
31% from average (9.71)
Shots from outside the box
80% from average (6.25)
5
4
65% from average (6.14)
Passes
124% from average (438)
542
357
96% from average (372.36)
Successful passes
131% from average (362.38)
473
286
95% from average (301.86)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
160% from average (1.88)
3
0
0% from average (2.21)
Saves
67% from average (3)
2
5
260% from average (1.92)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
11’
Barnabás Varga
1
:0
Yellow Card
27’
Lovro Majer
Yellow Card
40’
Llazaros Rota
Substitution
45’
Sebastián Palacios
Giannis Gianniotas
Substitution
45’
Christian Kouamé
Manu García
Substitution
45’
Christian Kouamé
Manu García
Substitution
45’
Sebastián Palacios
Giannis Gianniotas
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:0
Goal
62’
Barnabás Varga
2
:0
Substitution
64’
Rafa Mir
Tino Kadewere
Substitution
64’
Martin Hongla
Ayotomiwa Dele-Bashiru
Substitution
64’
Martin Hongla
Ayotomiwa Dele-Bashiru
Substitution
64’
Rafa Mir
Tino Kadewere
Goal
66’
Răzvan Marin
3
:0
Substitution
68’
Aboubakary Koita
Mijat Gaćinović
Substitution
68’
Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
Luka Jovic
Substitution
68’
Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
Luka Jovic
Substitution
68’
Aboubakary Koita
Mijat Gaćinović
Goal
70’
Barnabás Varga
4
:0
Goal
75’
Aboubakary Koita
5
:0
Substitution
80’
Petros Mantalos
Barnabás Varga
Substitution
80’
Kervin Arriaga
Răzvan Marin
Substitution
80’
Kervin Arriaga
Răzvan Marin
Substitution
80’
Petros Mantalos
Barnabás Varga
Substitution
82’
Othman Boussaid
Benjamin Garré
Substitution
83’
Oleksandr Zubkov
Lovro Majer
Substitution
83’
Oleksandr Zubkov
Lovro Majer
Substitution
84’
Othman Boussaid
Benjamin Garré
Goal
90’
Ambrósini António Cabaça Salvador
6
:0
Match Completed
5
:0
Formation · 4-4-2
AEK Athens FC
9
L. Jović
19
B. Varga
8
M. Gaćinović
18
R. Marin
27
M. Vitális
14
L. Majer
3
S. Pilios
44
Filipe Relvas
2
H. Moukoudi
12
L. Rota
1
T. Strakosha
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Aris Thessalonikis
9
T. Kadewere
70
G. Gianniotas
5
Manu García
7
B. Garré
10
U. Račić
20
T. Dele-Bashiru
3
O. Richards
97
F. Jensen
44
B. Šutalo
27
N. Fadiga
33
Ricardo Velho
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match AEK Athens FC - Aris Thessalonikis 05.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
10
1
2nd half
11
6
Result
21
7
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Number of events
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AEK Athens FC
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
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Aris Thessalonikis
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics AEK Athens FC - Aris Thessalonikis 05.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
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All outcomes · any probability · any odds
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All outcomes
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Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds from 1.3 to 6
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings AEK Athens FC and Aris Thessalonikis before the match 05.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match AEK Athens FC - Aris Thessalonikis 05.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works