Super League 1
05.09 · 21:00
· Finished
AEK Athens FC
5 : 0
Aris Thessalonikis
11.38
X4.98
28.71
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.90.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 2.5
1.90
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Total goals (match): Under 2.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
80.4%
exp. goals
2.28
edge
+6.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
11.01.26
1:1
Under 2.5
23.11.25
1:0
Under 2.5
09.03.25
0:0
Under 2.5
03.12.24
1:1
Under 2.5