FC St. Pauli - 1. FC Kaiserslautern 30.08.2026 14:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
FC St. Pauli
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
FC St. Pauli
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
10%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · FC St. Pauli
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : FC St. Pauli and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
FC St. Pauli
0%
1. FC Kaiserslautern
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.1
2.7
Avg. corners per match
9.54
10.53
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.38
4.93
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑FC St. Pauli: In 17 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓FC St. Pauli: In 8 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↓FC St. Pauli: In 19 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 6
↓FC St. Pauli: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
FC St. Pauli - 1. FC Kaiserslautern, match from 30.08.2026. The referee appointed for this match is Eric-Dominic Weisbach, Germany. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. It has already been 2 season the teams face each other. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by FC St. Pauli the odds are just 1.77.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
3 picks from 3 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.56
Average CLV
+2.41%
Agreement
33%
Total goals (match): Under 4.5
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI -4.7%
Match result: 1
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI -5.5%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5
1 pick · 33%
Market ROI -18.4%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
67% from average (1.5)
1
2
154% from average (1.3)
Expected goals (xG)
124% from average (1.08)
1.34
0.71
49% from average (1.46)
Possession
128% from average (46.08)
59%
41%
83% from average (49.2)
Corners
90% from average (4.46)
4
5
103% from average (4.87)
Yellow cards
156% from average (1.92)
3
4
165% from average (2.43)
145% from average (4.83)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
97% from average (9.31)
9
13
108% from average (12.07)
81% from average (27)
Shots on goal
202% from average (10.38)
21
11
89% from average (12.33)
Shots on target
202% from average (3.46)
7
4
109% from average (3.67)
Shots off target
169% from average (4.15)
7
4
81% from average (4.93)
Blocked shots
253% from average (2.77)
7
3
80% from average (3.73)
Shots from inside the box
168% from average (6.54)
11
5
56% from average (8.87)
Shots from outside the box
260% from average (3.85)
10
6
173% from average (3.47)
Passes
124% from average (413.92)
515
366
88% from average (414.87)
Successful passes
130% from average (318.62)
415
268
83% from average (324.33)
Pass accuracy
107% from average (75.62)
81%
73%
94% from average (77.53)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
168% from average (2.38)
4
1
68% from average (1.47)
Saves
47% from average (4.23)
2
6
173% from average (3.47)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
29’
E. Yardimci
0
:1
Yellow Card
38’
David Nemeth
Yellow Card
41’
Marcus Mathisen
Yellow Card
42’
M. Mathisen
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:1
Goal
46’
T. Tazemeta
0
:2
Substitution
46’
T. Tazemeta
E. Yardimci
Substitution
55’
A. Ceesay
M. Mathisen
Substitution
55’
C. Metcalfe
M. Kaars
Substitution
55’
C. Metcalfe
M. Kaars
Substitution
55’
A. Ceesay
M. Mathisen
Goal
56’
A. Ceesay
1
:2
Yellow Card
60’
Jacob Rasmussen
Yellow Card
64’
Ibrahim Kanate
Yellow Card
67’
Fabian Kunze
Substitution
68’
M. Sauer
M. Ritter
Substitution
68’
M. Berisha
I. Kanate
Substitution
68’
M. Berisha
I. Kanate
Substitution
68’
M. Sauer
M. Ritter
Substitution
71’
L. Robinson
F. Kunze
Yellow Card
76’
Mario Sauer
Substitution
83’
Y. Niang
T. Hara
Substitution
84’
K. Frees
M. Gyamfi
Yellow Card
85’
T. Lieberknecht
Yellow Card
89’
T. Ando
Yellow Card
89’
Tomoya Ando
Match Completed
1
:2
Formation · 3-4-1-2
FC St. Pauli
18
T. Hara
19
M. Kaars
10
B. Hrgota
23
L. Oppie
20
M. Rasmussen
8
E. Smith
11
A. Pyrka
15
T. Ando
6
M. Mathisen
4
D. Nemeth
1
B. Voll
Formation · 3-4-3
1. FC Kaiserslautern
11
I. Kanate
17
E. Yardimci
7
M. Ritter
22
M. Haas
8
S. Sahin
6
F. Kunze
26
P. Joly
14
J. Rasmussen
4
M. Gyamfi
33
J. Elvedi
1
J. Krahl
Starting lineups
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match FC St. Pauli - 1. FC Kaiserslautern 30.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
9
4
2nd half
12
7
Result
21
11
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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FC St. Pauli
Across all matches
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1. FC Kaiserslautern
Across all matches
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics FC St. Pauli - 1. FC Kaiserslautern 30.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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10
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings FC St. Pauli and 1. FC Kaiserslautern before the match 30.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match FC St. Pauli - 1. FC Kaiserslautern 30.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works