2. Bundesliga
30.08 · 14:30
· Finished
FC St. Pauli
1 : 2
1. FC Kaiserslautern
11.88
X3.98
24.6
3
picks on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.56.
Picks on the match
3 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
1.93
low
Under 4.5
1.22
low
Under 11.5
1.53
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
33%
Total goals (match): Under 4.5
1 author
33%
Corners over/under: Under 11.5
1 author
33%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
77.6%
exp. goals
3.02
edge
-6.9%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
20.01.24
2:0
Under 2.5
29.07.23
2:1
Over 2.5 won
12.02.23
1:0
Under 2.5
07.08.22
1:2
Over 2.5 won