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Holywell — Caernarfon Town
Premier League

Holywell - Caernarfon Town 28.08.2026 21:45: score, statistics, forecasts

Holywell Holywell
D
L
L
L
L
Finished
3
5
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1st half 1:3
2nd half 2:2
28.08.2026 21:45
Premier League
Regular Season - 5 | 2026 | Wales
Bartons North Wales Stadium
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Caernarfon Town
Most likely outcome — Caernarfon Town (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Holywell
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Caernarfon Town
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Holywell
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Caernarfon Town
Under 4.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : Caernarfon Town and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Holywell
8%
Caernarfon Town
92%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 4 3.1
Avg. corners per match 0 0
Avg. yellow cards per match 0 0
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Holywell will face Caernarfon Town 28.08.2026 as the home team. The referee appointed for this match is T. Owen. Only League Cup can provide information for an accurate match analysis - since it is the only context in which we could see head-to-head meetings between the teams. Holywell and Caernarfon Town have so far played each other in only one season, so there isn't much data for match analysis.
Author consensus verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
2.13
Average CLV
+1.87%
Agreement
50%
Total goals (match): Over 2.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI +5.7%
Total goals (match): Under 2.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI -9.9%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Holywell - Caernarfon Town 28.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
13’
S. Bradley
0
:
1
Goal
35’
Z. Clarke
0
:
2
Goal
45’+1’
F. Murtas
1
:
2
Goal
45’+1’
F. Murtas
2
:
2
Goal
45’+2’
Z. Clarke
2
:
3
Goal
45’+2’
Z. Clarke
2
:
4
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:
4
Goal
49’
C. Hughes
3
:
4
Goal
51’
Z. Clarke
3
:
5
Substitution
60’
O. Davies
F. Murtas
Substitution
60’
J. Sconce
H. Morris
Penalty
64’
F. Yonsian
4
:
5
Goal
72’
N. Edwards
4
:
6
Substitution
73’
S. Nyamwanza
S. Bradley
Substitution
73’
M. Jones
J. Canavan
Substitution
73’
S. Nyamwanza
S. Bradley
Substitution
73’
M. Jones
J. Canavan
Substitution
74’
O. Zanzala
Z. Clarke
Substitution
74’
O. Zanzala
Z. Clarke
Goal
77’
O. Zanzala
4
:
7
Substitution
87’
T. Nyoni
A. Mudimu
Substitution
87’
T. Nyoni
A. Mudimu
Substitution
90’+1’
J. Reed
M. Winslade
Substitution
90’+1’
J. Reed
M. Winslade
Substitution
90’+1’
J. Reed
M. Winslade
Substitution
90’+2’
A. Edwards
D. McGiveron
Substitution
90’+2’
A. Edwards
D. McGiveron
Substitution
90’+2’
A. Edwards
D. McGiveron
Match Completed
3
:
5

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Holywell
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Caernarfon Town
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Holywell - Caernarfon Town 28.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Holywell and Caernarfon Town before the match 28.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Holywell - Caernarfon Town 28.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works