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SC Freiburg — Werder Bremen
Bundesliga

SC Freiburg - Werder Bremen 30.08.2026 16:30: score, statistics, forecasts

SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
Position: 2 (+13)
W
W
W
W
W
Finished
4
1
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1st half 2:0
2nd half 2:1
30.08.2026 16:30
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
Position: 15 (-13)
W
W
D
L
W
Bundesliga
Regular Season - 1 | 2026 | Germany
xG 2.37 0.54
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
50% confidence
Main prediction
SC Freiburg or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
SC Freiburg
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Werder Bremen
0%
Combo bet
Double chance : SC Freiburg or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
SC Freiburg
0%
Werder Bremen
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.75 3.1
Avg. corners per match 8.92 8.67
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.08 3
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Werder Bremen will play away against SC Freiburg 30.08.2026. The referee will be Daniel Siebert, Germany. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. It has already been 5 seasons the teams face each other. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 4.18 on an away win - Werder Bremen.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.17
Average CLV
+8.33%
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI +7.7%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center SC Freiburg - Werder Bremen 30.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
170% from average (2.35)
4
1
59% from average (1.7)
Expected goals (xG)
172% from average (1.38)
2.37
0.54
43% from average (1.27)
Possession
106% from average (50)
53%
47%
90% from average (52.5)
Corners
163% from average (3.69)
6
5
111% from average (4.5)
Yellow cards
56% from average (1.77)
1
1
50% from average (2)
62% from average (3.24)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
119% from average (10.92)
13
16
170% from average (9.42)
138% from average (21.06)
Shots on goal
128% from average (14.85)
19
9
66% from average (13.67)
Shots on target
84% from average (5.92)
5
3
74% from average (4.08)
Shots off target
134% from average (5.23)
7
1
17% from average (5.92)
Blocked shots
186% from average (3.77)
7
5
136% from average (3.67)
Shots from inside the box
75% from average (10.62)
8
6
63% from average (9.58)
Shots from outside the box
260% from average (4.23)
11
3
74% from average (4.08)
Passes
113% from average (432.38)
487
432
85% from average (510.08)
Successful passes
121% from average (359.69)
435
372
88% from average (425.08)
Pass accuracy
109% from average (82)
89%
86%
106% from average (81.42)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (2.25)
0
1
38% from average (2.64)
Saves
70% from average (2.85)
2
1
41% from average (2.42)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
29’
Y. Suzuki
1
:
0
Goal
45’
I. Matanovic
2
:
0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:
0
Substitution
46’
C. Irie
J. Beste
Substitution
46’
C. Irie
J. Beste
Substitution
46’
D. Stalmach
S. Lynen
Substitution
46’
D. Stalmach
S. Lynen
Goal
48’
Y. Suzuki
3
:
0
Yellow Card
48’
Ludovit Reis
Goal
55’
Y. Suzuki
4
:
0
Substitution
61’
S. Musah
J. Njinmah
Substitution
61’
C. Itten
N. Fullkrug
Substitution
61’
C. Itten
N. Fullkrug
Substitution
61’
S. Musah
J. Njinmah
Substitution
69’
M. Rosenfelder
P. Lienhart
Substitution
69’
P. Treu
L. Kubler
Substitution
69’
P. Treu
L. Kubler
Substitution
69’
M. Rosenfelder
P. Lienhart
Substitution
73’
L. Holer
I. Matanovic
Goal
76’
D. Stalmach
4
:
1
Substitution
79’
K. Goto
Y. Suzuki
Substitution
80’
K. Goto
Y. Suzuki
Substitution
84’
E. Dinkci
L. Reis
Substitution
84’
P. Covic
M. Grull
Substitution
84’
P. Covic
M. Grull
Substitution
84’
E. Dinkci
L. Reis
Substitution
85’
P. Covic
M. Grull
Substitution
85’
E. Dinkci
L. Reis
Substitution
85’
E. Dinkci
L. Reis
Substitution
85’
P. Covic
M. Grull
Yellow Card
88’
Keisuke Goto
Match Completed
4
:
1

Injuries and suspensions

SC Freiburg
FM
F. Muslija
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
RY
R. Yamamoto
Injury
In doubt
PO
P. Osterhage
Muscle Injury
In doubt
Werder Bremen
MW
M. Weiser
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
FA
F. Agu
Calf Injury
Definitely will not play
OW
O. Wojcik
Muscle Injury
Definitely will not play
KT
K. Topp
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
Formation · 4-2-3-1 SC Freiburg
31 I. Matanovic
7 D. Scherhant
14 Y. Suzuki
19 J. Beste
16 Y. Engelhardt
8 M. Eggestein
33 J. Makengo
3 P. Lienhart
28 M. Ginter
17 L. Kubler
1 M. Backhaus
Formation · 4-3-3 Werder Bremen
17 M. Grull
10 N. Fullkrug
11 J. Njinmah
15 L. Reis
14 S. Lynen
20 Chuki
2 O. Deman
32 M. Friedl
5 A. Pieper
33 M. Schmetgens
1 K. Hein

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
17
~
~
~
+2
28
~
~
~
+3
3
~
~
~
+2
33
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
+2
16
~
~
~
+2
19
~
~
~
+3
14
~
~
3
+2
7
~
~
~
+4
31
~
~
1
+4
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
33
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
+2
32
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+1
20
~
~
~
+2
14
~
~
~
+1
15
~
1
~
+1
11
~
~
~
+1
10
~
~
~
+3
17
~
~
~
+4

Substitutions

#
Player
21
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
+1
37
~
~
~
~
27
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
~
+1
42
~
1
~
+2
#
Player
30
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
~
24
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
1
+4
18
~
~
~
~
38
~
~
~
~
29
~
~
~
+1
26
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match SC Freiburg - Werder Bremen 30.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 13
2
2nd half 6
7
Result 19
9
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
SC Freiburg
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Werder Bremen
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics SC Freiburg - Werder Bremen 30.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings SC Freiburg and Werder Bremen before the match 30.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match SC Freiburg - Werder Bremen 30.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works