Bundesliga
30.08 · 16:30
· Finished
SC Freiburg
4 : 1
Werder Bremen
11.89
X3.81
24.55
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.17.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 5.5
1.17
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
84%
exp. goals
2.87
edge
+5%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
07.02.26
1:0
Under 2.5
20.09.25
3:0
Over 2.5 won
21.02.25
5:0
Over 2.5 won
05.10.24
1:0
Under 2.5