Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV 29.08.2026 19:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Borussia Dortmund
W
W
D
D
L
Hamburger SV
W
L
D
W
W
Bundesliga
Regular Season - 1 | 2026 | Germany
xG 1.41
0.69
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
Borussia Dortmund or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Borussia Dortmund
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Hamburger SV
0%
Combo bet
Double chance : Borussia Dortmund or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Borussia Dortmund
0%
Hamburger SV
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.1
3.3
Avg. corners per match
8.3
9.9
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.5
4.7
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Borussia Dortmund: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↓Borussia Dortmund: In 10 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 1
↓Borussia Dortmund: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Borussia Dortmund: Judging by recent matches, Borussia Dortmund" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
Borussia Dortmund 29.08.2026 will host the away team - Hamburger SV. This match will be officiated by Felix Zwayer, Germany. Bundesliga - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. The teams don't have many head-to-head meetings yet - they have only played each other for one season.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.27
Average CLV
-2.31%
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +12.9%
Match sections
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Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
114% from average (1.75)
2
0
0% from average (1.6)
Expected goals (xG)
82% from average (1.71)
1.41
0.69
59% from average (1.17)
Possession
116% from average (48.4)
56%
44%
96% from average (45.6)
Corners
70% from average (4.3)
3
1
28% from average (3.6)
Yellow cards
94% from average (2.13)
2
1
53% from average (1.9)
68% from average (4.44)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
101% from average (12.9)
13
19
188% from average (10.1)
144% from average (22.22)
Shots on goal
187% from average (10.7)
20
7
65% from average (10.8)
Shots on target
146% from average (4.1)
6
3
73% from average (4.1)
Shots off target
294% from average (3.4)
10
4
91% from average (4.4)
Blocked shots
125% from average (3.2)
4
0
0% from average (2.3)
Shots from inside the box
135% from average (8.9)
12
3
42% from average (7.2)
Shots from outside the box
444% from average (1.8)
8
4
111% from average (3.6)
Passes
120% from average (447.6)
537
414
111% from average (373.2)
Successful passes
128% from average (368)
471
337
114% from average (295.1)
Pass accuracy
109% from average (80.7)
88%
81%
103% from average (79)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
71% from average (1.4)
1
1
69% from average (1.44)
Saves
94% from average (3.2)
3
5
172% from average (2.9)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
9’
S. Guirassy
1
:0
Yellow Card
21’
Albert Sambi Lokonga
Own goal
45’
S. Bornauw
2
:0
Own goal
45’+1’
S. Bornauw
3
:0
Goal
45’+1’
Giannis Konstantelias
4
:0
The match has continued - the second half is underway
4
:0
Substitution
54’
M. Sabitzer
G. Konstantelias
Yellow Card
58’
Julian Ryerson
Substitution
67’
T. Moffi
P. Daka
Substitution
67’
K. Amoako
M. Adeline
Substitution
67’
K. Amoako
M. Adeline
Substitution
67’
T. Moffi
P. Daka
Substitution
74’
F. Mane
J. Ryerson
Substitution
74’
Joey Veerman
Felix Nmecha
Substitution
74’
Samuele Inácio
Konstantinos Karetsas
Substitution
74’
Samuele Inácio
Konstantinos Karetsas
Substitution
74’
F. Mane
J. Ryerson
Substitution
74’
J. Veerman
F. Nmecha
Substitution
74’
S. Inacio
K. Karetsas
Substitution
74’
J. Veerman
F. Nmecha
Red Card
77’
Samuele Inacio
Substitution
82’
B. Nadir
J. Torunarigha
Substitution
82’
Y. Poulsen
B. Jatta
Substitution
82’
Yussuf Poulsen
Bakery Jatta
Substitution
82’
Bilal Nadir
Jordan Torunarigha
Substitution
84’
K. Prates
M. Beier
Yellow Card
85’
Daniel Svensson
Substitution
89’
R. Philippe
L. Lemke
Match Completed
2
:0
Injuries and suspensions
Borussia Dortmund
EC
Definitely will not play
E. Can
Knee Injury
RB
In doubt
R. Bensebaini
Ribs Injury
NS
Definitely will not play
N. Schlotterbeck
Ankle Injury
MK
Definitely will not play
M. Kaba
Injury
Hamburger SV
MM
Definitely will not play
M. Muheim
Muscle Injury
WO
Definitely will not play
W. Omari
Personal Reasons
AR
Definitely will not play
A. Rossing-Lelesiit
Ankle Injury
Formation · 3-4-3
Borussia Dortmund
45
G. Konstantelias
9
S. Guirassy
19
K. Karetsas
14
M. Beier
8
F. Nmecha
7
J. Bellingham
26
J. Ryerson
24
D. Svensson
3
W. Anton
22
J. Gadou
1
G. Kobel
Formation · 3-4-2-1
Hamburger SV
27
P. Daka
11
A. Gronbaek
5
M. Adeline
37
L. Lemke
21
N. Remberg
6
A. S. Lokonga
18
B. Jatta
23
J. Torunarigha
33
S. Bornauw
24
N. Capaldo
1
D. Heuer Fernandes
Starting lineups
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Substitutions
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Borussia Dortmund - Hamburger SV 29.08.2026
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Borussia Dortmund and Hamburger SV before the match 29.08.2026
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