Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV: Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5 at 1.27 — pick by TheAnalyticK model

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Home / Matches / Borussia Dortmund — Hamburger SV / Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5

TheAnalyticK model model

ROI +10.9% · 91 picks · since September 2026

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Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV

Bundesliga

Win 29.08 · 19:30

The author’s pick

Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5

Odds

1.27

Bankroll

Confidence

Low

Result Win stake 2 000 × odds 1.27 = 2 540 → net +540 +540 settlement →

Reasoning

retroactive · no timestamp

Computed pick: the model puts the outcome at 81.7%, while odds of 1.27 price in 78.7%. Value edge +3.0%. The source does not store the exact time of calculation: the pre-match nature is assumed from how it works rather than verified against a record. The odds are taken from the opening line.

Line snapshot

reference — 1xBet

opening

1.27

the line when trading opened

publication

1.27

snapshot saved

1.30

CLV -2.31%

The pick was restored, and the pre-match nature of its estimate is ASSUMED rather than verified: the source does not store the time of calculation. The grounds are how the source works: it computes from pre-match team ratings and cannot draw on the course of play. The odds are taken from the opening line. The pick was not published in real time.

Pick settlement

Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand

Win

Pick published August 28, 2026 16:30

Publication is closed August 29, 2026 16:30 · at kick-off

Kick-off August 29, 2026 16:30

Result settled from the match result

+540 Upside if it wins

-2000 Risk 2% of the bankroll

+540 Result credited to the bankroll

Pick outcome Win stake 2 000 × odds 1.27 = 2 540 → net +540

+540 credited to the bankroll

Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.

Author form

12 agolatest

76.5%

accuracy

+10.9%

ROI

1.48

average odds

+1.1%

CLV

TheAnalyticK model

active

Yellow cards

free

0 subscribers · one-click cancellation

How we verify

01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.

02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.

03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.