Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander 05.09.2026 19:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Rayo Vallecano
W
L
L
D
L
Finished
3
2
1st half 2:2
2nd half 1:0
05.09.2026 19:30
Racing Santander
W
L
D
L
W
La Liga
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | Spain
xG 0.00
0.00
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Rayo Vallecano or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Rayo Vallecano
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Racing Santander
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Rayo Vallecano
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Racing Santander
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Rayo Vallecano or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Rayo Vallecano
100%
Racing Santander
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.75
3.6
Avg. corners per match
9.92
11.18
Avg. yellow cards per match
5.92
5.2
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Rayo Vallecano: In 7 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓Rayo Vallecano: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 7 goals is scored
↓Rayo Vallecano: In 7 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 8
↓Rayo Vallecano: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Rayo Vallecano will face Racing Santander 05.09.2026 as the home team. We haven't received information about the match referee yet. It is hard to predict the match because there is no recent head-to-head data. This will be the first meeting between the teams since 2017. Bookmakers believe the home team will win, giving odds of 3.75 on an away win - Racing Santander.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.69
Average CLV
—
Agreement
50%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI -8.1%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 pick · 50%
Market ROI +7.7%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
240% from average (1.25)
3
2
103% from average (1.95)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.36)
0
0
0% from average (1.4)
Possession
98% from average (49.77)
49%
51%
101% from average (50.64)
Corners
202% from average (4.46)
9
6
106% from average (5.64)
Yellow cards
97% from average (3.08)
3
2
71% from average (2.8)
136% from average (3.67)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
98% from average (15.38)
15
12
84% from average (14.27)
108% from average (25)
Shots on goal
108% from average (14.85)
16
9
62% from average (14.45)
Shots on target
181% from average (5.54)
10
4
62% from average (6.45)
Shots off target
46% from average (6.54)
3
3
67% from average (4.45)
Blocked shots
105% from average (2.85)
3
2
55% from average (3.64)
Shots from inside the box
110% from average (8.15)
9
4
41% from average (9.64)
Shots from outside the box
105% from average (6.69)
7
5
104% from average (4.82)
Passes
108% from average (358.85)
386
412
96% from average (428.64)
Successful passes
111% from average (286.23)
317
334
94% from average (354.91)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
69% from average (1.45)
1
2
92% from average (2.18)
Saves
55% from average (3.62)
2
6
200% from average (3)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
2’
Óscar Valentín
Goal
4’
Sergio Canales
0
:1
Goal
17’
Andrei Rațiu
1
:1
Yellow Card
25’
Yassir Zabiri
Goal
28’
Pablo García
1
:2
Yellow Card
35’
Iñigo Vicente
Yellow Card
39’
Sergio Camello
Goal
43’
Sergio Camello
2
:2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:2
Goal
47’
Sergio Camello
3
:2
Substitution
55’
Jeanuël Belocian
Facundo González
Substitution
55’
André Almeida
Matteo Prati
Substitution
55’
Pablo Ramon Parra
Manu Hernando
Substitution
55’
Pablo Ramon Parra
Manu Hernando
Substitution
55’
Jeanuël Belocian
Facundo González
Substitution
57’
Alexandre Zurawski
Sergio Camello
Substitution
57’
Gnangoro Bouare
Óscar Valentín
Substitution
57’
Gnangoro Bouare
Óscar Valentín
Substitution
57’
Alexandre Zurawski
Sergio Camello
Substitution
65’
Francisco Pérez Martínez
Jorge De Frutos
Yellow Card
66’
Florian Lejeune
Substitution
74’
Georgiy Tsitaishvili
Álvaro García
Substitution
75’
Ivan Balliu
Adrià Pedrosa
Red Card
85’
Francisco Pérez Martínez
Red Card
89’
Jorge De Frutos
Red Card
90’
Jorge De Frutos
Substitution
90’
Juan Carlos Arana
Pablo García
Substitution
90’
Aarón Martin Caricol
Alvaro Mantilla
Match Completed
3
:2
Injuries and suspensions
Rayo Vallecano
LF
Definitely will not play
Luiz Felipe
Hamstring Injury
AB
Definitely will not play
A. Batalla
Broken calfbone
MK
In doubt
M. Kumbulla
Muscle Injury
IP
Definitely will not play
I. Palazon
Muscle Injury
JV
Definitely will not play
J. Vertrouwd
Muscle Injury
Racing Santander
AM
Definitely will not play
A. Martin
Knee Injury
IL
Definitely will not play
I. Luque
Inactive
Formation · 4-3-3
Rayo Vallecano
18
Álvaro García
10
Sergio Camello
19
Jorge de Frutos
4
Pedro Díaz
23
Óscar Valentín
8
Unai López
17
Adrià Pedrosa
6
P. Ciss
24
F. Lejeune
2
A. Rațiu
1
Dani Cárdenas
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Racing Santander
21
M. Zabiri
10
Iñigo Vicente
20
Sergio Canales
15
Pablo García
18
M. Prati
23
Iván Martín
17
Jorge Salinas
16
Facundo González
4
Manu Hernando
2
Álvaro Mantilla
13
Julen Agirrezabala
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander 05.09.2026
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Rayo Vallecano and Racing Santander before the match 05.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Rayo Vallecano - Racing Santander 05.09.2026
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