Rayo Vallecano
vs
Racing Santander
Win
05.09 · 19:30
The author’s pick
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
Odds
1.54
Bankroll
2%
Confidence
Low
Result
Win
stake 2 096 × odds 1.54 = 3 227 → net +1 131
+1 131
settlement →
Reasoning
locked Yesterday 13:30 · cannot be changedComputed pick: the model puts the outcome at 66.9%, while odds of 1.54 price in 64.9%. Value edge +2.0%.
Line snapshot
reference — 1xBetopening
1.44
the line when trading opened
publication
1.54
snapshot saved
now
1.44
settles after the match
The odds were set by the server from the reference line at the moment of publication — the author cannot change them afterwards.
Pick settlement
Settled automatically from the match result — it cannot be changed by hand
Pick published
Yesterday 13:30
Publication is closed
Yesterday 16:30 · at kick-off
Kick-off
Yesterday 16:30
Result settled
from the match result
+1131.35
Upside
if it wins
-2095.65
Risk
2% of the bankroll
+1 131
Result
credited to the bankroll
Pick outcome
Win
stake 2 096 × odds 1.54 = 3 227 → net +1 131
+1 131
credited to the bankroll
Settlement uses the odds locked at the moment of publication, not the current ones. If the match is cancelled or postponed, the stake is returned and does not affect the statistics.
Author form
12 agolatest
76.5%
accuracy
+10.9%
ROI
1.48
average odds
+1.1%
CLV
TheAnalyticK model
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How we verify
01A pick is accepted only before kick-off and cannot be edited once published.
02The server captures the odds from the reference line — not the ones the author typed in.
03The statistics include every pick by the author, not a selection of the good ones.