Athletic Club - Atletico Madrid 05.09.2026 17:15: score, statistics, forecasts
Athletic Club
L
L
L
L
W
Finished
3
0
1st half 0:0
2nd half 3:0
05.09.2026 17:15
Atletico Madrid
L
W
W
D
W
La Liga
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | Spain
xG 0.00
0.00
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
50%
confidence
Main prediction
Atletico Madrid
Most likely outcome — Atletico Madrid (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Athletic Club
0%
X
Draw
50%
2
Atletico Madrid
50%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Athletic Club
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Atletico Madrid
Under 6.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : Atletico Madrid and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Athletic Club
7%
Atletico Madrid
93%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.45
3.3
Avg. corners per match
9.38
9.14
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.43
3.54
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Athletic Club: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓Athletic Club: In 10 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Athletic Club: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 7
↓Athletic Club: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Athletic Club 05.09.2026 will host the away team - Atletico Madrid. Unfortunately, there is no data yet on who will referee this match. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025. Judging by the odds of 3.03 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.66
Average CLV
—
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Under 10.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -8.1%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
150% from average (2)
3
0
0% from average (1.65)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.23)
0
0
0% from average (1.42)
Possession
86% from average (44.38)
38%
62%
132% from average (46.86)
Corners
56% from average (5.38)
3
8
170% from average (4.71)
Yellow cards
0% from average (2.14)
0
1
45% from average (2.23)
- from average (0)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
61% from average (13.13)
8
6
49% from average (12.29)
- from average (0)
Shots on goal
86% from average (12.75)
11
15
114% from average (13.21)
Shots on target
89% from average (4.5)
4
5
119% from average (4.21)
Shots off target
62% from average (6.5)
4
9
158% from average (5.71)
Blocked shots
171% from average (1.75)
3
1
30% from average (3.29)
Shots from inside the box
91% from average (8.75)
8
10
121% from average (8.29)
Shots from outside the box
75% from average (4)
3
5
101% from average (4.93)
Passes
97% from average (398)
387
631
140% from average (450.64)
Successful passes
98% from average (323.13)
316
571
149% from average (382.36)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (1.29)
0
2
108% from average (1.86)
Saves
174% from average (2.88)
5
1
29% from average (3.5)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
39’
Lee Kang-In
Substitution
45’
Aitor Paredes
Yeray Álvarez
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Goal
46’
Nico Williams
1
:0
Goal
48’
Robert Navarro Muñoz
2
:0
Substitution
58’
Arnau Ortiz
Ademola Lookman
Substitution
59’
Koke
Morten Hjulmand
Substitution
59’
Cristian Romero
Giuliano Simeone Baldini
Substitution
59’
Julián Álvarez
Lee Kang-In
Substitution
59’
Julián Álvarez
Lee Kang-In
Substitution
59’
Koke
Morten Hjulmand
Substitution
59’
Julián Álvarez
Lee Kang-In
Substitution
59’
Cristian Romero
Giuliano Simeone Baldini
Substitution
59’
Cristian Romero
Giuliano Simeone Baldini
Substitution
59’
Koke
Morten Hjulmand
Substitution
60’
Mikel Jauregizar
Iñigo Ruiz De Galarreta
Substitution
66’
Johaneko Louis-Jean
Robert Navarro Muñoz
Substitution
66’
Alex Berenguer
Iñaki Williams
Substitution
66’
Alex Berenguer
Iñaki Williams
Substitution
66’
Johaneko Louis-Jean
Robert Navarro Muñoz
Substitution
76’
Johnny Cardoso
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
Substitution
76’
Gorka Guruzeta
Nico Williams
Goal
90’
Oihan Sancet
3
:0
Match Completed
3
:0
Injuries and suspensions
Athletic Club
DV
In doubt
D. Vivian
Hamstring Injury
AD
Definitely will not play
A. Djalo
Coach's decision
NS
Definitely will not play
N. Serrano
Coach's decision
UE
Definitely will not play
U. Egiluz
Knee Injury
PC
Definitely will not play
P. Canales
Muscle Injury
Atletico Madrid
AS
Definitely will not play
A. Sorloth
Muscle Injury
OV
Definitely will not play
O. Vargas
Coach's decision
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Athletic Club
9
I. Williams
10
Nico Williams
8
Oihan Sancet
23
Robert Navarro
24
Beñat Gerenabarrena
16
Ruíz de Galarreta
17
Yuri
14
Aymeric Laporte
5
Yeray
12
Jesús Areso
1
Unai Simón
Formation · 4-4-2
Atletico Madrid
10
Álex Baena
7
Lee Kang-In
11
A. Lookman
23
M. Hjulmand
8
Pablo Barrios
20
G. Simeone
22
Álex Grimaldo
17
D. Hancko
18
Marc Pubill
14
Marcos Llorente
13
J. Oblak
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Athletic Club - Atletico Madrid 05.09.2026
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1st half
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6
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11
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Athletic Club and Atletico Madrid before the match 05.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Athletic Club - Atletico Madrid 05.09.2026
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