Matches / La Liga / Athletic Club — Atletico Madrid · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
La Liga 05.09 · 17:15 · Finished
Athletic Club
home
Athletic Club
3 : 0
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
away
13.15 X3.44 22.46
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.66.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticC model TheAnalyticC model model 5 rating place · bankroll 2% Under 10.5 1.66 medium

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Corners over/under: Under 10.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 77.7% exp. goals 2.38 edge +3.3%
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

25.04.26 2:3 Over 2.5 won
06.12.25 1:0 Under 2.5
01.03.25 0:1 Under 2.5
31.08.24 0:1 Under 2.5