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Barcelona — Rayo Vallecano
La Liga

Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 31.08.2026 22:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Barcelona Barcelona
Position: 1 (+17)
L
W
W
W
W
Finished
5
2
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1st half 2:1
2nd half 3:1
31.08.2026 22:30
Rayo Vallecano Rayo Vallecano
Position: 18 (-17)
L
W
L
L
D
La Liga
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | Spain
Camp Nou
xG 2.83 1.08
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
50% confidence
Main prediction
Barcelona
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Barcelona
50%
X
Draw
50%
2
Rayo Vallecano
0%
Totals prediction
Total · Barcelona
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Rayo Vallecano
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : Barcelona
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Barcelona
100%
Rayo Vallecano
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.4 2.45
Avg. corners per match 9.83 10
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.33 6.38
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Barcelona 31.08.2026 will host the away team - Rayo Vallecano. The referee will be F. Maeso. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: La Liga, Copa del Rey. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Barcelona the odds are just 1.1.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.64
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Total goals (match): Under 4.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -4.7%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 31.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
204% from average (2.45)
5
2
174% from average (1.15)
Expected goals (xG)
117% from average (2.42)
2.83
1.08
77% from average (1.4)
Possession
104% from average (66.17)
69%
31%
62% from average (50.38)
Corners
154% from average (5.83)
9
5
105% from average (4.77)
Yellow cards
0% from average (1.33)
0
1
30% from average (3.31)
24% from average (4.11)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
42% from average (9.58)
4
11
72% from average (15.38)
54% from average (27.67)
Shots on goal
175% from average (14.83)
26
11
75% from average (14.62)
Shots on target
132% from average (6.83)
9
5
92% from average (5.46)
Shots off target
193% from average (5.17)
10
4
62% from average (6.46)
Blocked shots
247% from average (2.83)
7
2
72% from average (2.77)
Shots from inside the box
153% from average (11.08)
17
7
86% from average (8.15)
Shots from outside the box
240% from average (3.75)
9
4
62% from average (6.46)
Passes
105% from average (614.5)
647
284
79% from average (359.77)
Successful passes
106% from average (552.33)
585
210
73% from average (287.31)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (89.75)
90%
74%
94% from average (78.62)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
112% from average (2.67)
3
4
294% from average (1.36)
Saves
138% from average (2.17)
3
5
145% from average (3.46)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
12’
S. Camello
0
:
1
Goal
19’
Raphinha
1
:
1
Goal
21’
Lamine Yamal
2
:
1
Substitution
32’
A. Pedrosa
J. Vertrouwd
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:
1
Own goal
51’
F. Lejeune
3
:
1
Substitution
57’
P. Diaz
G. Bouare
Substitution
57’
F. Perez
J. de Frutos
Substitution
57’
F. Perez
J. de Frutos
Substitution
57’
P. Diaz
G. Bouare
Substitution
58’
F. Perez
J. de Frutos
Goal
59’
S. Camello
3
:
2
Substitution
64’
Rodri
M. Bernal
Substitution
64’
Fermín
D. Olmo
Substitution
64’
Fermin
D. Olmo
Substitution
64’
Rodri
M. Bernal
Goal
71’
Raphinha
4
:
2
Substitution
75’
Alemao
S. Camello
Substitution
75’
R. Nteka
U. Lopez
Substitution
75’
R. Nteka
U. Lopez
Substitution
75’
Alemao
S. Camello
Substitution
77’
K. Adeyemi
A. Gordon
Substitution
77’
J. Cancelo
Pedri
Substitution
77’
J. Cancelo
Pedri
Substitution
77’
K. Adeyemi
A. Gordon
Substitution
78’
K. Adeyemi
A. Gordon
Substitution
78’
J. Cancelo
Pedri
Substitution
78’
J. Cancelo
Pedri
Substitution
78’
K. Adeyemi
A. Gordon
Substitution
86’
H. Abdelkarim
Raphinha
Goal
90’
Lamine Yamal
5
:
2
Yellow Card
90’
Adrià Pedrosa
Match Completed
5
:
2

Injuries and suspensions

Barcelona
FD
F. de Jong
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
DL
D. Livakovic
Inactive
Definitely will not play
G
Gavi
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
MC
M. Casado
Coach's decision
In doubt
RB
R. Bardghji
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
Rayo Vallecano
LF
Luiz Felipe
Hamstring Injury
Definitely will not play
AB
A. Batalla
Injury
Definitely will not play
MK
M. Kumbulla
Muscle Injury
In doubt
IP
I. Palazon
Injury
Definitely will not play
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Barcelona
11 Raphinha
17 A. Gordon
20 D. Olmo
10 Lamine Yamal
8 Pedri
22 M. Bernal
12 X. Espart
15 A. Christensen
5 P. Cubarsi
23 J. Kounde
1 J. Garcia
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Rayo Vallecano
10 S. Camello
18 A. Garcia
8 U. Lopez
19 J. de Frutos
36 G. Bouare
23 O. Valentin
33 J. Vertrouwd
6 P. Ciss
24 F. Lejeune
20 I. Balliu
1 D. Cardenas

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
+2
5
~
~
~
+2
15
~
~
~
+3
12
~
~
~
+3
22
~
~
~
+5
8
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
2
+4
20
~
~
~
+1
17
~
~
~
+4
11
~
~
2
+3
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
20
~
~
~
+2
24
~
~
~
+2
6
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
+1
36
~
~
~
+3
23
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
+2
19
~
~
~
+1
18
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
2
+2

Substitutions

#
Player
13
~
~
~
~
31
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
+1
24
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
+1
29
~
~
~
+1
14
~
~
~
+3
#
Player
30
~
~
~
~
17
~
1
~
+2
22
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
+1
14
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
+2
31
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
+2
9
~
~
~
+3

These are the odds for the match Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 31.08.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 17
3
2nd half 9
8
Result 26
11
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Barcelona
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Rayo Vallecano
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 31.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Barcelona and Rayo Vallecano before the match 31.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Barcelona - Rayo Vallecano 31.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works