Finished
1
5
1st half 1:1
2nd half 0:4
05.09.2026 17:00
League One
Regular Season - 5 | 2026 | England
xG 0.00
0.00
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
35%
confidence
Main prediction
Barnsley or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Barnsley
35%
X
Draw
35%
2
Stevenage
30%
Totals prediction
Match total
Under 3.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · Barnsley
Under 1.5
home team's goals
Total · Stevenage
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Double chance : Barnsley or draw and -3.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Barnsley
42%
Stevenage
58%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.4
2.05
Avg. corners per match
13.62
9.38
Avg. yellow cards per match
4
3.58
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Barnsley: In 20 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↑Barnsley: In 5 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 2
↓Barnsley: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 8
↓Barnsley: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Stevenage will play away against Barnsley 05.09.2026. We don't yet know who will be the referee. League One - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2023, 2024, 2025. The most likely outcome is a win for Barnsley, judging by the odds of 2.1.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.82
Average CLV
—
Agreement
100%
Which team has more corners: 2
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -22%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
83% from average (1.2)
1
5
625% from average (0.8)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.77)
0
0
0% from average (1.16)
Possession
97% from average (57.62)
56%
44%
96% from average (46)
Corners
96% from average (7.31)
7
3
67% from average (4.46)
Yellow cards
44% from average (2.27)
1
2
120% from average (1.67)
67% from average (4.5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
160% from average (11.23)
18
9
76% from average (11.77)
102% from average (26.5)
Shots on goal
111% from average (15.31)
17
10
88% from average (11.38)
Shots on target
96% from average (4.15)
4
5
130% from average (3.85)
Shots off target
65% from average (6.15)
4
3
58% from average (5.15)
Blocked shots
180% from average (5)
9
2
84% from average (2.38)
Shots from inside the box
112% from average (8.92)
10
8
95% from average (8.38)
Shots from outside the box
110% from average (6.38)
7
2
67% from average (3)
Passes
101% from average (385.54)
389
305
94% from average (323.08)
Successful passes
100% from average (281.85)
283
186
85% from average (218.85)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
108% from average (1.85)
2
5
194% from average (2.58)
Saves
0% from average (3.54)
0
2
108% from average (1.85)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
16’
Carl Piergianni
Penalty
17’
Cameron McGeehan
1
:0
Substitution
23’
Louis Thompson
Terry·Taylor
Goal
43’
O. Sanderson
1
:1
Substitution
45’
A. Richards
Ziyad Larkeche
Substitution
45’
Leo Farrell
Makenzie Kirk
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:1
Goal
52’
Daniel Kemp
1
:2
Goal
57’
Terence Vancooten
1
:3
Substitution
60’
Luca Connell
Jonathan Bland
Substitution
60’
L. Alker
Reyes Cleary
Goal
66’
Daniel Kemp
1
:4
Substitution
72’
Ben Broggio
O. Sanderson
Substitution
72’
Michael Mellon
Josh Magennis
Substitution
75’
Clayton Taylor
Cameron McGeehan
Yellow Card
85’
Patrick Kelly
Substitution
85’
Saxon Earley
Jordan Roberts
Substitution
85’
Jordan Houghton
Daniel Phillips
Yellow Card
86’
Lewis Freestone
Yellow Card
86’
Saxon Earley
Goal
90’+2’
Michael Mellon
1
:5
Match Completed
1
:5
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Barnsley
9
M. Kirk
19
R. Cleary
22
Patrick Kelly
11
T. Noslin
8
C. McGeehan
30
Jonathan Bland
3
Z. Larkeche
4
S. Gale
6
C. O'Riordan
2
A. Kay
25
Rogan Ravenhill
Formation · 4-4-1-1
Stevenage
9
J. Magennis
10
D. Kemp
11
J. Roberts
8
D. Phillips
7
T. Taylor
18
O. Sanderson
6
L. Freestone
5
C. Piergianni
15
T. Vancooten
2
L. James-Wildin
1
T. Setford
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Barnsley - Stevenage 05.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams
Referee
Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
11
4
2nd half
6
6
Result
17
10
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
Barnsley
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Stevenage
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle
Bet365
1xBet
Fonbet
Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Barnsley and Stevenage before the match 05.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Barnsley - Stevenage 05.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works