League One
05.09 · 17:00
· Finished
Barnsley
1 : 5
Stevenage
12.13
X3.47
23.55
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 2.82.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
2
2.82
high
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Which team has more corners: 2
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
76.5%
exp. goals
2.38
edge
-2.1%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
21.04.26
0:1
Under 2.5
31.01.26
3:1
Over 2.5 won
25.01.25
0:1
Under 2.5
14.09.24
0:3
Over 2.5 won