Swindon Town - Port Vale 01.09.2026 21:45: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Swindon Town or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Swindon Town
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Port Vale
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Swindon Town
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Port Vale
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Swindon Town or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Swindon Town
100%
Port Vale
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.9
2.25
Avg. corners per match
12.45
9.86
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.18
2.21
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↓Swindon Town: In 8 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↓Swindon Town: In 11 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 3
↓Swindon Town: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
↓Swindon Town: Judging by recent matches, Swindon Town" sometimes wins, sometimes loses, sometimes draws — everything is unstable
Brief Overview
Swindon Town - Port Vale, match from 01.09.2026. The referee appointed for this match is M. Corlett. League Two - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. It has already been 2 season the teams face each other. Judging by the odds of 3.29 on a home win, yet the away team still has better chances of winning.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.72
Average CLV
-20.47%
Agreement
100%
Match result: 1
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI -5.5%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
222% from average (1.35)
3
1
105% from average (0.95)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (0.98)
0
0
0% from average (0.91)
Possession
88% from average (52)
46%
54%
121% from average (44.71)
Corners
207% from average (4.82)
10
4
110% from average (3.64)
Yellow cards
50% from average (2)
1
1
127% from average (0.79)
45% from average (4.41)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
101% from average (9.91)
10
7
64% from average (10.86)
70% from average (24.18)
Shots on goal
162% from average (8.64)
14
8
88% from average (9.07)
Shots on target
200% from average (3)
6
2
74% from average (2.71)
Shots off target
103% from average (2.91)
3
3
91% from average (3.29)
Blocked shots
177% from average (2.82)
5
3
98% from average (3.07)
Shots from inside the box
213% from average (5.64)
12
5
91% from average (5.5)
Shots from outside the box
67% from average (3)
2
3
84% from average (3.57)
Passes
74% from average (376)
278
330
100% from average (328.5)
Successful passes
62% from average (256.82)
160
203
85% from average (237.57)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
200% from average (1.5)
3
3
191% from average (1.57)
Saves
33% from average (3)
1
2
67% from average (3)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
2’
Oliver Lynch
0
:1
Goal
13’
Aaron Drinan
1
:1
Substitution
45’
Tyreece Simpson
Ben Waine
Substitution
45’
Lewis Montsma
Onel Hernández
Substitution
45’
Ben Garrity
Matthew Craig
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:1
Substitution
46’
B. Garrity
M. Craig
Substitution
46’
L. Montsma
O. Hernandez
Substitution
46’
T. Simpson
B. Waine
Substitution
46’
L. Montsma
O. Hernandez
Substitution
46’
T. Simpson
B. Waine
Substitution
46’
B. Garrity
M. Craig
Substitution
46’
T. Simpson
B. Waine
Substitution
56’
B. Middlemas
R. Tafazolli
Substitution
56’
J. Snowdon
T. Nichols
Substitution
56’
Joe Snowdon
Tom Nichols
Substitution
56’
Ben Middlemas
Ryan Tafazolli
Yellow Card
58’
Cameron Humphreys
Goal
71’
Ben Middlemas
2
:1
Substitution
74’
Louis Millard
Ollie Palmer
Substitution
76’
George Cardinal Joseph·Hall
Rhys Walters
Substitution
81’
Jaheim·Headley
Liam Gordon
Yellow Card
87’
J. Thomson
Yellow Card
87’
Jack Thomson
Substitution
90’+3’
James Ball
Aaron Drinan
Goal
90’+4’
Louis Millard
3
:1
Match Completed
3
:1
Starting lineups
#
Player
25
J. Thomson
~
~
~
~
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Swindon Town - Port Vale 01.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Sample source
Teams
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Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
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Defense
Goals
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
8
3
2nd half
6
5
Result
14
8
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Swindon Town
Across all matches
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Port Vale
Across all matches
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Swindon Town - Port Vale 01.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
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These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Swindon Town and Port Vale before the match 01.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Swindon Town - Port Vale 01.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works