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Swansea — Watford
Championship

Swansea - Watford 01.09.2026 21:45: score, statistics, forecasts

Swansea Swansea
Position: 1 (+13)
W
L
W
D
W
Finished
2
0
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1st half 2:0
2nd half 0:0
01.09.2026 21:45
Watford Watford
Position: 14 (-13)
W
W
D
L
D
Championship
Regular Season - 4 | 2026 | England
xG 0.00 0.00
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Swansea or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Swansea
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Watford
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Swansea
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Watford
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Swansea or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Swansea
0%
Watford
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.7 2.9
Avg. corners per match 9.54 10.07
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.08 4.93
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Swansea 01.09.2026 will host the away team - Watford. This match will be officiated by E. Duckworth. Championship - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. It has already been 5 seasons the teams face each other. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Swansea the odds are just 1.84.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.93
Average CLV
+3.76%
Agreement
100%
Match result: 1 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -5.6%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Swansea - Watford 01.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
154% from average (1.3)
2
0
0% from average (1.1)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.42)
0
0
0% from average (1.11)
Possession
107% from average (56.08)
60%
40%
82% from average (48.53)
Corners
107% from average (4.69)
5
3
60% from average (5)
Yellow cards
0% from average (2.08)
0
4
162% from average (2.47)
103% from average (3.88)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
61% from average (9.77)
6
14
120% from average (11.67)
92% from average (21.74)
Shots on goal
138% from average (13)
18
9
59% from average (15.27)
Shots on target
171% from average (4.69)
8
3
62% from average (4.87)
Shots off target
105% from average (4.77)
5
4
74% from average (5.4)
Blocked shots
141% from average (3.54)
5
2
40% from average (5)
Shots from inside the box
129% from average (7.77)
10
8
82% from average (9.73)
Shots from outside the box
153% from average (5.23)
8
1
18% from average (5.53)
Passes
120% from average (481.69)
577
374
94% from average (396.33)
Successful passes
123% from average (389)
480
303
94% from average (320.67)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
48% from average (2.08)
1
4
244% from average (1.64)
Saves
126% from average (2.38)
3
6
176% from average (3.4)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
8’
Eom Ji-Sung
1
:
0
Yellow Card
25’
O. H. Traore
Goal
29’
A. Idah
2
:
0
Substitution
31’
B. Mlacic
O. H. Traore
The match has continued - the second half is underway
2
:
0
Substitution
46’
E. Bove
A. Nabizada
Substitution
57’
M. Widell
E. Just
Substitution
57’
M. K. Yeo
J. Opoku
Substitution
65’
R. Vata
O. Maamma
Substitution
67’
Z. Vipotnik
A. Idah
Yellow Card
68’
H. Kyprianou
Substitution
68’
J. Fulton
M. Stamenic
Yellow Card
80’
K. Keben
Substitution
83’
L. Kjerrumgaard
I. Bravo
Substitution
86’
J. Seelt
S. Welsh
Yellow Card
90’+1’
J. Zemura
Match Completed
2
:
0

Injuries and suspensions

Swansea
CB
C. Burgess
Achilles Tendon Injury
Definitely will not play
GF
G. Franco
Ankle Injury
Definitely will not play
BC
B. Cabango
Inactive
In doubt
JO
J. Opoku
Inactive
In doubt
Watford
MB
M. Bola
Hamstring Injury
Definitely will not play
KB
K. Baah
Knock
Definitely will not play
JN
J. Ngakia
Thigh Injury
Definitely will not play
TA
T. Akomeah
Lacking Match Fitness
In doubt
JG
J. Grieves
Lacking Match Fitness
Definitely will not play

Starting lineups

#
Player
22
~
~
~
+2
2
~
~
~
+1
26
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
~
14
~
~
~
+2
6
~
~
~
+3
30
~
~
~
+4
8
~
~
~
+3
46
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
1
+4
33
~
~
1
+4
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+2
23
~
1
~
+1
6
~
~
~
+2
4
~
1
~
+2
33
~
1
~
+2
39
~
~
~
+3
5
~
1
~
+4
7
~
~
~
+1
17
~
~
~
+3
21
~
~
~
+2
20
~
~
~
+3

Substitutions

#
Player
1
~
~
~
~
50
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
+2
7
~
~
~
+2
16
~
~
~
~
44
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
~
+1
49
~
~
~
+1
#
Player
24
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
~
56
A. Eames
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
+1
29
~
~
~
+1
11
~
~
~
+2
9
~
~
~
~
48
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Swansea - Watford 01.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 11
4
2nd half 7
5
Result 18
9
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Swansea
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Watford
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Swansea - Watford 01.09.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Swansea and Watford before the match 01.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Swansea - Watford 01.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works