Championship
01.09 · 21:45
· Finished
Swansea
2 : 0
Watford
11.9
X3.7
24.4
1
pick on the match
1
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.93.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
1
1.93
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Match result: 1
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
75.5%
exp. goals
2.51
edge
+0.4%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
31.01.26
2:0
Under 2.5
23.08.25
1:1
Under 2.5
12.03.25
0:1
Under 2.5
05.11.24
1:0
Under 2.5