Southampton - Millwall 29.08.2026 17:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Millwall or draw
Most likely outcome — Millwall (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Southampton
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Millwall
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Southampton
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Millwall
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Millwall
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Southampton
0%
Millwall
100%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.9
2.1
Avg. corners per match
10.38
12.64
Avg. yellow cards per match
4.42
2.7
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Southampton: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓Southampton: In 16 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↓Southampton: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 9
↓Southampton: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Southampton - Millwall, the match will take place 29.08.2026. The referee will be Adam Herczeg, England. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: Championship, Friendlies Clubs. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2023, 2024, 2025.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.21
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +7.7%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
263% from average (1.9)
5
1
80% from average (1.25)
Expected goals (xG)
198% from average (1.62)
3.21
1.09
61% from average (1.8)
Possession
97% from average (53.77)
52%
48%
94% from average (50.91)
Corners
160% from average (5)
8
11
178% from average (6.18)
Yellow cards
109% from average (1.83)
2
1
71% from average (1.4)
74% from average (4.06)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
61% from average (9.77)
6
10
86% from average (11.64)
68% from average (23.65)
Shots on goal
145% from average (14.46)
21
14
97% from average (14.36)
Shots on target
140% from average (5)
7
5
117% from average (4.27)
Shots off target
140% from average (5)
7
5
89% from average (5.64)
Blocked shots
157% from average (4.46)
7
4
90% from average (4.45)
Shots from inside the box
173% from average (9.23)
16
11
110% from average (10)
Shots from outside the box
96% from average (5.23)
5
3
69% from average (4.36)
Passes
87% from average (480.54)
418
377
98% from average (384)
Successful passes
89% from average (411.38)
367
303
104% from average (291.36)
Pass accuracy
105% from average (84.15)
88%
80%
108% from average (74.18)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
45% from average (2.2)
1
2
61% from average (3.27)
Saves
110% from average (3.62)
4
2
92% from average (2.18)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
4’
Ryan Manning
Yellow Card
10’
Mark Sykes
Goal
15’
Mark Sykes
0
:1
Goal
25’
Cyle Larin
1
:1
Goal
38’
Finn Azaz
2
:1
Goal
39’
F. Azaz
3
:1
Substitution
45’
James Ward-Prowse
Flynn Downes
The match has continued - the second half is underway
3
:1
Substitution
46’
James Ward-Prowse
Flynn Downes
Penalty
55’
Leo Scienza
4
:1
Substitution
61’
Luke Cundle
Kyrell Lisbie
Goal
62’
Cyle Larin
5
:1
Substitution
70’
Divin Mubama
Cyle Larin
Substitution
71’
Tom Fellows
Leo Scienza
Substitution
71’
T. Fellows
L. Scienza
Substitution
71’
D. Kelly
Taïryk Arconte
Substitution
71’
E. Baggott
Z. Sturge
Substitution
71’
D. Kelly
T. Arconte
Substitution
71’
Elkan Baggott
Zak Sturge
Substitution
71’
Daniel Kelly
Tairyk Arconte
Substitution
79’
Zakariya Lovelace
Jenson Metcalfe
Substitution
79’
Z. Lovelace
J. Metcalfe
Substitution
79’
Zak Lovelace
Jenson Metcalfe
Substitution
80’
Lyndon Dykes
Josh Coburn
Substitution
81’
Lewis Dobbin
Kuryu Matsuki
Goal
86’
Tom Fellows
6
:1
Yellow Card
87’
Tom Fellows
Substitution
87’
Jack Stephens
Keven Schlotterbeck
Match Completed
5
:1
Injuries and suspensions
Southampton
TH
In doubt
T. Harwood-Bellis
Injury
CJ
Definitely will not play
C. Jander
Lacking Match Fitness
Millwall
ML
In doubt
M. Luongo
Knee Injury
RL
Definitely will not play
R. Leonard
Hamstring Injury
AD
Definitely will not play
A. Doughty
Hamstring Injury
TC
In doubt
T. Crama
Inactive
FA
Definitely will not play
F. Azeez
Abdominal strain
MS
Definitely will not play
M. Servais
Hamstring Injury
DM
Definitely will not play
D. Mazou-Sacko
Calf Injury
MI
Definitely will not play
M. Ivanovic
Hamstring Injury
Formation
Millwall
14
J. Metcalfe
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
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Sample source
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Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
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Goals
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Number of events
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
12
8
2nd half
9
6
Result
21
14
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
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20
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Southampton
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
Millwall
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Southampton - Millwall 29.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Southampton and Millwall before the match 29.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
All
This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Southampton - Millwall 29.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works