Championship
29.08 · 17:00
· Finished
Southampton
5 : 1
Millwall
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.21.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Under 5.5
1.21
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 1.5
Total goals (match)
probability
73.3%
exp. goals
2.54
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
01.01.26
0:0
Under 2.5
29.11.25
2:3
Over 2.5 won
03.08.24
1:0
Under 2.5
24.02.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won