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Norwich — Burnley
Championship

Norwich - Burnley 29.08.2026 17:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Norwich Norwich
Position: 16 (+6)
D
W
L
L
W
Finished
4
1
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1st half 3:1
2nd half 1:0
29.08.2026 17:00
Burnley Burnley
Position: 22 (-6)
L
W
D
L
L
Championship
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | England
xG 1.92 0.95
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Burnley or draw
Most likely outcome — Burnley (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Norwich
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Burnley
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Norwich
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Burnley
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or Burnley
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Norwich
59%
Burnley
41%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.35 2.95
Avg. corners per match 9.33 10.83
Avg. yellow cards per match 4.75 3.45
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Norwich - Burnley, the match will take place 29.08.2026. The referee will be Elliot Bell, England. The clubs do not meet within cups, but their matches can often be seen within leagues: Premier League, Championship. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2021, 2022, 2024.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.64
Average CLV
-6.82%
Agreement
100%
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -13.1%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Norwich - Burnley 29.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
276% from average (1.45)
4
1
105% from average (0.95)
Expected goals (xG)
131% from average (1.47)
1.92
0.95
86% from average (1.1)
Possession
67% from average (55.25)
37%
63%
126% from average (50.17)
Corners
56% from average (5.33)
3
5
102% from average (4.92)
Yellow cards
178% from average (2.25)
4
3
194% from average (1.55)
200% from average (3.5)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
124% from average (11.25)
14
5
45% from average (11)
87% from average (21.85)
Shots on goal
145% from average (13.75)
20
16
133% from average (12)
Shots on target
124% from average (4.83)
6
4
112% from average (3.58)
Shots off target
122% from average (4.92)
6
7
153% from average (4.58)
Blocked shots
200% from average (4)
8
5
131% from average (3.83)
Shots from inside the box
136% from average (8.83)
12
10
136% from average (7.33)
Shots from outside the box
163% from average (4.92)
8
6
128% from average (4.67)
Passes
76% from average (421.33)
319
554
125% from average (444.5)
Successful passes
78% from average (332.58)
259
481
130% from average (370.67)
Pass accuracy
103% from average (78.75)
81%
87%
105% from average (82.5)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
256% from average (1.17)
3
1
109% from average (0.92)
Saves
109% from average (2.75)
3
2
63% from average (3.17)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Goal
2’
Mohamed Touré
1
:
0
Goal
5’
Andre Brooks
2
:
0
Yellow Card
16’
Ruairi McConville
Goal
21’
Mohamed Touré
3
:
0
Goal
27’
Josh Laurent
3
:
1
Yellow Card
28’
Josh Laurent
Yellow Card
29’
José Córdoba
The match has continued - the second half is underway
3
:
1
Substitution
62’
P. A. Diallo
A. Musaba
Substitution
62’
A. Slimane
O. Schwartau
Substitution
62’
Anis Ben Slimane
Oscar Schwartau
Substitution
62’
Papa Amadou Diallo
Anthony Musaba
Yellow Card
63’
Andre Brooks
Substitution
63’
Marcus Edwards
Jacob Bruun Larsen
Substitution
64’
Zeki Amdouni
Aaron Ramsey
Yellow Card
65’
Anis Ben Slimane
Goal
67’
Andre Brooks
4
:
1
Yellow Card
71’
Zian Flemming
Substitution
71’
A. Crnac
A. Brooks
Substitution
71’
M. Kvistgaarden
M. Toure
Substitution
71’
Mathias Kvistgaarden
Mohamed Touré
Substitution
71’
Ante Crnac
Andre Brooks
Yellow Card
77’
Josh Laurent
Red Card
77’
Josh Laurent
Substitution
78’
Andreas Hountondji
Zian Flemming
Substitution
80’
Jacob Wright
Kenny McLean
Substitution
82’
Ugo Raghouber
Hannibal Mejbri
Match Completed
4
:
1

Injuries and suspensions

Norwich
MT
M. Topic
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
JC
J. Cordoba
Red Card
Definitely will not play
PM
P. Maghoma
Calf Injury
Definitely will not play
JM
J. Makama
Foot Injury
In doubt
AA
A. Ahmed
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
LM
L. Mahovo
Ankle Injury
Definitely will not play
Burnley
AB
A. Barnes
Injury
Definitely will not play
JC
J. Cullen
Knee Injury
Definitely will not play
JB
J. Beyer
Hamstring Injury
Definitely will not play
BH
B. Humphreys
Inactive
Definitely will not play
JB
J. Banel
Injury
Definitely will not play
EA
E. Agyei
Injury
Definitely will not play
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Norwich
21 Mohamed Touré
49 Anthony Musaba
29 Oscar Schwartau
11 Andre Brooks
7 Pelle Mattsson
23 Kenny McLean
14 Ben Chrisene
33 José Córdoba
15 Ruairi McConville
3 Jack Stacey
1 Vladan Kovačević
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Burnley
19 Zian Flemming
12 Dastan Satpaev
21 Aaron Ramsey
7 Jacob Bruun Larsen
29 Josh Laurent
28 Hannibal Mejbri
14 Connor Roberts
3 Max Alleyne
15 Anel Ahmedhodžić
2 Kyle Walker
1 Max Weiss

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
14
~
~
~
+3
33
~
1
~
+2
15
~
1
~
+2
3
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
+1
11
~
1
2
+5
29
~
~
~
+2
49
~
~
~
+2
21
~
~
2
+3
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
14
~
~
~
+1
15
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
+1
28
~
~
~
+4
29
1
2
1
+4
12
~
~
~
+3
21
~
~
~
+1
7
~
~
~
+2
19
~
1
~
+3

Substitutions

#
Player
6
~
~
~
~
20
~
1
~
+3
19
~
~
~
+2
30
~
~
~
+1
32
~
~
~
~
35
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+1
16
~
~
~
+1
13
~
~
~
~
#
Player
37
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
+2
8
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
~
31
~
~
~
~
4
~
~
~
~
11
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 9
9
2nd half 11
7
Result 20
16
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Norwich
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Burnley
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Norwich - Burnley 29.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Norwich and Burnley before the match 29.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Norwich - Burnley 29.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works