Matches / Championship / Norwich — Burnley · Match statistics on TheAnalytic →
Championship 29.08 · 17:00 · Finished
Norwich
home
Norwich
4 : 1
Burnley
Burnley
away
1 pick on the match 0 disagree with the model

Average odds 1.64.

Picks on the match

1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author Stake Odds Confidence
TheAnalyticD model TheAnalyticD model model retroactive* 7 rating place · bankroll 2% Under 1.5 1.64 high

Where the authors lean

Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5 1 author

Your own pick on the match

Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.

TheAnalyticD model

Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability 85% exp. goals 2.26
The model disagrees with the majority

Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.

Head-to-head

11.04.25 1:2 Over 2.5 won
15.12.24 1:2 Over 2.5 won
04.02.23 0:3 Over 2.5 won
25.10.22 0:1 Under 2.5