Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Exact number of goals (home): Under 1.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
85%
exp. goals
2.26
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
11.04.25
1:2
Over 2.5 won
15.12.24
1:2
Over 2.5 won
04.02.23
0:3
Over 2.5 won
25.10.22
0:1
Under 2.5