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Middlesbrough — West Brom
Championship

Middlesbrough - West Brom 29.08.2026 14:30: score, statistics, forecasts

Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
Position: 5 (+1)
D
W
W
L
W
Finished
3
1
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1st half 0:0
2nd half 3:1
29.08.2026 14:30
West Brom West Brom
Position: 6 (-1)
W
W
W
W
L
Championship
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | England
Riverside Stadium
xG 2.46 1.40
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
West Brom or draw
Most likely outcome — West Brom (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Middlesbrough
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
West Brom
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Middlesbrough
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · West Brom
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : draw or West Brom
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Middlesbrough
49%
West Brom
51%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.8 2.85
Avg. corners per match 11.29 8.4
Avg. yellow cards per match 3.5 3.93
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Middlesbrough 29.08.2026 will host the away team - West Brom. The referee will be Paul Tierney, England. So far, head-to-head meetings between the clubs could only be observed within a single league. We can analyze how the match will go, since the teams have already played each other over 5 last seasons.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.99
Average CLV
-3.4%
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 3.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI +6.4%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Middlesbrough - West Brom 29.08.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
194% from average (1.55)
3
1
50% from average (2)
Expected goals (xG)
109% from average (2.25)
2.46
1.4
87% from average (1.61)
Possession
72% from average (65.21)
47%
53%
100% from average (52.87)
Corners
84% from average (8.29)
7
6
145% from average (4.13)
Yellow cards
0% from average (1.17)
0
1
56% from average (1.8)
28% from average (3.57)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
179% from average (8.36)
15
6
59% from average (10.2)
92% from average (22.75)
Shots on goal
73% from average (20.43)
15
12
87% from average (13.87)
Shots on target
112% from average (5.36)
6
4
79% from average (5.07)
Shots off target
69% from average (7.29)
5
2
48% from average (4.2)
Blocked shots
51% from average (7.79)
4
6
130% from average (4.6)
Shots from inside the box
101% from average (13.93)
14
10
111% from average (9)
Shots from outside the box
15% from average (6.5)
1
2
41% from average (4.87)
Passes
88% from average (589.29)
516
584
126% from average (463.4)
Successful passes
89% from average (510.86)
455
522
138% from average (378.47)
Pass accuracy
102% from average (86.43)
88%
89%
110% from average (80.73)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
211% from average (1.42)
3
0
0% from average (2.13)
Saves
100% from average (2)
2
4
172% from average (2.33)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
40’
Maximilian Arfsten
Jeremy Sarmiento
Substitution
45’
Sebastian Berhalter
Myles Peart-Harris
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
46’
Sebastian Berhalter
Myles Peart-Harris
Goal
48’
Will Lankshear
1
:
0
Yellow Card
61’
Ousmane Diakité
Goal
65’
J. Morgan
1
:
1
Goal
65’
Jimmy Morgan
1
:
2
Substitution
69’
Alfie Jones
Morgan Whittaker
Substitution
69’
Kyle Joseph
Riley McGree
Substitution
69’
K. Joseph
R. McGree
Substitution
69’
A. Jones
M. Whittaker
Substitution
70’
Rabby Nzingoula
Harry Whitwell
Goal
73’
Will Lankshear
2
:
2
Substitution
77’
A. Heggebo
F. Myhre
Substitution
77’
K. Tunde
J. Molumby
Substitution
77’
Kareem Tunde
Jayson Molumby
Substitution
77’
Aune Selland Heggebø
Felix Horn Myhre
Substitution
86’
B. Stewart
J. Morgan
Substitution
86’
Barney Stewart
Jimmy Morgan
Substitution
86’
Tommy Conway
Will Lankshear
Goal
87’
Alfie Jones
3
:
2
Match Completed
3
:
1

Injuries and suspensions

Middlesbrough
AB
A. Bangura
Coach's decision
Definitely will not play
TC
T. Conway
Ankle Injury
Definitely will not play
West Brom
MJ
M. Johnston
Broken Leg
Definitely will not play
Formation · 4-2-3-1 Middlesbrough
7 W. Lankshear
16 J. Sarmiento
8 R. McGree
11 M. Whittaker
14 M. Peart-Harris
10 A. Morris
30 Neto Borges
29 A. Malanda
12 L. Ayling
2 C. Brittain
1 R. Vitek
Formation West Brom
11 Jimmy Morgan

Starting lineups

#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
+3
12
~
~
~
+2
29
~
~
~
+1
30
~
~
~
+2
10
~
~
~
+1
14
~
~
~
+1
11
~
~
~
+3
8
~
~
~
+1
16
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
2
+5
#
Player
1
~
~
~
+1
25
~
~
~
+1
3
~
~
~
~
6
~
~
~
+1
4
~
~
~
+1
29
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
+1
17
~
1
~
+2
21
~
~
~
+4
7
~
~
~
+3
11
~
~
1
+4
11
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

#
Player
6
~
~
~
+3
31
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
17
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
+1
5
~
~
1
+2
22
~
~
~
+3
4
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
~
#
Player
23
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
+1
13
~
~
~
~
2
~
~
~
~
20
~
~
~
+3
9
~
~
~
~
22
~
~
~
~
26
~
~
~
+3
28
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
~

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 3
3
2nd half 12
9
Result 15
12
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Middlesbrough
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
West Brom
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Middlesbrough - West Brom 29.08.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Middlesbrough and West Brom before the match 29.08.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Middlesbrough - West Brom 29.08.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works