Championship
29.08 · 14:30
· Finished
Middlesbrough
3 : 1
West Brom
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.99.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 3.5
1.99
medium
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalyticD model
Under 3.5
Total goals (match)
probability
78.5%
exp. goals
2.44
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
16.01.26
3:2
Over 2.5 won
19.09.25
2:1
Over 2.5 won
21.01.25
2:0
Under 2.5
01.10.24
1:0
Under 2.5