Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
FC Rostov or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
FC Rostov
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Fakel
10%
Totals prediction
Total · FC Rostov
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Fakel
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : FC Rostov or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
FC Rostov
69%
Fakel
31%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
2.55
2.35
Avg. corners per match
8.92
9.88
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.64
3.2
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑FC Rostov: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no less than 1 goals is scored
↓FC Rostov: In 7 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↑FC Rostov: In 6 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not dropped below 1
↓FC Rostov: In 8 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 6
Brief Overview
05.09.2026 FC Rostov plays away against Fakel. We don't yet know who will be the referee. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: Premier League, Friendlies Clubs. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2022, 2023, 2024, 2026. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by FC Rostov the odds are just 1.94.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.76
Average CLV
—
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 3.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +6.4%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
222% from average (1.35)
3
1
91% from average (1.1)
Expected goals (xG)
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Possession
102% from average (48.25)
49%
51%
108% from average (47.25)
Corners
83% from average (4.83)
4
1
18% from average (5.63)
Yellow cards
52% from average (1.93)
1
3
214% from average (1.4)
91% from average (4.4)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
87% from average (14.91)
13
11
84% from average (13.17)
79% from average (30.2)
Shots on goal
104% from average (11.5)
12
10
97% from average (10.29)
Shots on target
150% from average (4)
6
3
96% from average (3.13)
Shots off target
81% from average (4.92)
4
4
86% from average (4.63)
Blocked shots
75% from average (2.67)
2
3
91% from average (3.29)
Shots from inside the box
129% from average (7)
9
6
113% from average (5.33)
Shots from outside the box
62% from average (4.82)
3
4
80% from average (5)
Passes
121% from average (349)
423
511
137% from average (372.83)
Successful passes
125% from average (244.45)
305
372
134% from average (277.33)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
105% from average (1.9)
2
1
56% from average (1.8)
Saves
129% from average (1.55)
2
3
112% from average (2.67)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
4’
Hodaifa El Mhassani
Yellow Card
45’+1’
Oumar Sako
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Goal
56’
Aleksey Mironov
1
:0
Goal
59’
Konstantin Kuchaev
2
:0
Goal
64’
Oumar Sako
3
:0
Substitution
65’
Maksim Turishchev
Axel Gnapi
Substitution
65’
Abdula Bagamaev
Darko Todorovic
Substitution
65’
Anton Kovalev
Aleksey Sutormin
Substitution
65’
Belajdi Pusi
Hodaifa El Mhassani
Substitution
67’
Maksim Turishchev
Axel Gnapi
Substitution
67’
Abdula Bagamaev
Darko Todorovic
Substitution
68’
Anton Kovalev
Aleksey Sutormin
Substitution
68’
Belajdi Pusi
Hodaifa El Mhassani
Yellow Card
72’
Butta Magomedov
Substitution
76’
Maksim Mukhin
Olakunle Olusegun
Substitution
80’
Aleksandr Koksharov
Albert Gabaraev
Substitution
83’
Imran Aznaurov
Ivan Komarov
Substitution
83’
Anton Shamonin
Timur Suleymanov
Goal
89’
Aleksandr Koksharov
3
:1
Substitution
90’
Danila Prokhin
Aleksey Mironov
Yellow Card
90’+1’
Belajdi Pusi
Match Completed
3
:1
Injuries and suspensions
FC Rostov
DC
Definitely will not play
D. Chistyakov
Knock
Fakel
SM
Definitely will not play
S. Magkeev
Muscle Injury
Formation · 4-3-3
FC Rostov
6
O. Olusegun
99
T. Suleymanov
10
I. Komarov
18
K. Kuchaev
8
A. Mironov
5
Y. Mikhaylov
87
A. Langovich
40
Ygor Nogueira
3
O. Sako
4
V. Melekhin
84
A. Petrov
Formation · 3-4-3
Fakel
11
A. Sutormin
9
A. Gnapi Dable
99
N. Giorgobiani
22
H. El Mahasni
23
V. Yakimov
97
B. Magomedov
55
D. Todorović
53
M. Bardachev
40
Clayton
5
A. Gabaraev
1
D. Frolkin
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match FC Rostov - Fakel 05.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
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Attack
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
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Statistics by half
1st half
2
4
2nd half
10
6
Result
12
10
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Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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FC Rostov
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Fakel
Across all matches
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
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Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings FC Rostov and Fakel before the match 05.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match FC Rostov - Fakel 05.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works