Premier League
05.09 · 19:00
· Finished
FC Rostov
3 : 1
Fakel
11.97
X3.4
24.69
1
pick on the match
0
disagree with the model
Average odds 1.76.
Picks on the match
1 locked before kick-off; a row leads to the breakdown
Author
Stake
Odds
Confidence
Over 3.5
1.76
low
Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Yellow cards over/under: Over 3.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Over 21.5
Fouls over/under
probability
80.3%
exp. goals
1.71
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
15.07.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
07.07.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
20.04.25
2:0
Under 2.5
01.09.24
4:1
Over 2.5 won