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St. Truiden — Union St. Gilloise
Jupiler Pro League

St. Truiden - Union St. Gilloise 02.09.2026 21:30: score, statistics, forecasts

St. Truiden St. Truiden
Position: 11 (-8)
D
D
W
L
W
Finished
0
3
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1st half 0:1
2nd half 0:2
02.09.2026 21:30
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
Position: 3 (+8)
D
W
L
D
W
Jupiler Pro League
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | Belgium
xG 0.85 2.49
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Union St. Gilloise
Most likely outcome — Union St. Gilloise (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
St. Truiden
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Union St. Gilloise
45%
Totals prediction
Match total
Over 1.5
goals in the match, combined
Total · St. Truiden
Under 2.5
home team's goals
Total · Union St. Gilloise
Under 4.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Combo Winner : Union St. Gilloise and +1.5 goals
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
St. Truiden
13%
Union St. Gilloise
87%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 3.1 3.9
Avg. corners per match 9.42 10
Avg. yellow cards per match 3 3.9
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Union St. Gilloise will play away against St. Truiden 02.09.2026. The referee will be Nathan Verboomen, Belgium. The rivalry between the match participants is limited to one league and has never gone beyond it. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025. Odds 1.98 on a win Union St. Gilloise indicates that the away team should play stronger than the home team.
Picks on the match verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
All picks on the match →
Author consensus verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.66
Average CLV
0%
Agreement
100%
Fouls over/under: Under 21.5 1 pick · 100% Market ROI -62.6%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center St. Truiden - Union St. Gilloise 02.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
0% from average (1.95)
0
3
118% from average (2.55)
Expected goals (xG)
50% from average (1.7)
0.85
2.49
199% from average (1.25)
Possession
91% from average (55.17)
50%
50%
102% from average (48.9)
Corners
62% from average (4.83)
3
1
20% from average (5.1)
Yellow cards
180% from average (1.67)
3
2
95% from average (2.1)
146% from average (3.42)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
141% from average (9.92)
14
10
99% from average (10.1)
112% from average (21.5)
Shots on goal
38% from average (15.6)
6
12
78% from average (15.4)
Shots on target
40% from average (5)
2
6
107% from average (5.6)
Shots off target
29% from average (6.83)
2
4
68% from average (5.9)
Blocked shots
53% from average (3.75)
2
2
51% from average (3.9)
Shots from inside the box
30% from average (10)
3
8
71% from average (11.3)
Shots from outside the box
54% from average (5.6)
3
4
98% from average (4.1)
Passes
109% from average (491.5)
534
535
124% from average (429.9)
Successful passes
106% from average (415.3)
442
452
130% from average (347.9)
Pass accuracy
100% from average (83.4)
83%
84%
106% from average (79.2)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
63% from average (1.58)
1
1
37% from average (2.7)
Saves
94% from average (3.2)
3
1
48% from average (2.1)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
21’
Kevin Mac Allister
Goal
23’
L. Patris
0
:
1
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
1
Yellow Card
47’
Abdoulaye Sissako
Yellow Card
49’
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Yellow Card
54’
Nelson Ishiwatari
Goal
55’
K. Mac Allister
0
:
2
Substitution
57’
R. Merlen
N. Ishiwatari
Substitution
57’
Samed Baždar
Oumar Diouf
Substitution
57’
Samed Baždar
Oumar Diouf
Substitution
57’
Ryan Merlen
Nelson Ishiwatari
Substitution
57’
S. Bazdar
O. Diouf
Yellow Card
61’
Kamiel Van de Perre
Goal
63’
R. Mofokeng
0
:
3
Substitution
65’
Kaito Matsuzawa
Ryotaro Araki
Substitution
65’
K. Matsuzawa
R. Araki
Substitution
65’
Denzel De Roeve
Guilherme Smith
Substitution
65’
Darius Olaru
Relebohile Mofokeng
Substitution
65’
Darius Olaru
Relebohile Mofokeng
Substitution
65’
D. De Roeve
Guilherme Smith
Substitution
65’
D. Olaru
R. Mofokeng
Substitution
71’
Sekou Abrahame Keita
Mateo Biondic
Substitution
71’
S. Keita
M. Biondic
Substitution
72’
S. Shinkawa
A. Muja
Substitution
72’
Taiga Hata
Robert-Jan Vanwesemael
Substitution
72’
T. Hata
R. Vanwesemael
Substitution
72’
Rob Schoofs
Kamiel Van De Perre
Substitution
72’
R. Schoofs
K. Van De Perre
Substitution
79’
R. Florucz
B. Zeneli
Match Completed
0
:
3
Formation St. Truiden
77 O. Diouf
Formation · 3-4-4 Union St. Gilloise
38 R. Mofokeng
9 M. Biondic
9 M. Biondic
23 B. Zeneli
11 Guilherme Smith
8 A. Zorgane
6 K. Van De Perre
27 L. Patris
80 O. Kricfalusi
29 M. Sylla
5 K. Mac Allister
12 H. Koffi

Starting lineups

#
Player
16
~
~
~
+1
22
~
~
~
+2
26
~
~
~
+1
23
~
~
~
+2
60
~
1
~
+1
71
~
~
~
+2
18
~
1
~
+2
7
~
~
~
+1
10
~
~
~
+5
8
~
1
~
+1
77
~
~
~
+2
77
O. Diouf
~
~
~
~
#
Player
12
~
~
~
+1
29
~
~
~
+2
5
~
1
1
+3
80
~
~
~
+1
8
~
~
~
+3
6
~
1
~
+2
27
~
~
1
+4
11
~
~
~
+2
23
~
~
~
+5
38
~
~
1
+2
9
~
~
~
+4
9
M. Biondic
~
~
~
~

Substitutions

#
Player
14
~
~
~
~
38
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
~
3
~
~
~
~
33
~
~
~
~
31
~
~
~
~
9
~
~
~
+3
99
~
~
~
+1
5
~
~
~
~
#
Player
17
~
~
~
+2
1
~
~
~
~
21
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
55
~
~
~
~
28
~
~
~
+3
14
~
~
~
~
39
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match St. Truiden - Union St. Gilloise 02.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 1
5
2nd half 5
7
Result 6
12
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
St. Truiden
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Union St. Gilloise
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics St. Truiden - Union St. Gilloise 02.09.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings St. Truiden and Union St. Gilloise before the match 02.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match St. Truiden - Union St. Gilloise 02.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works