Where the authors lean
Distribution of picks across selections
Fouls over/under: Under 21.5
1 author
100%
Your own pick on the match
Entries are closed: the scheduled kick-off time has passed. Picks published before it remain above unchanged — even if the match itself was delayed or rescheduled.
TheAnalytic model
Under 23.5
Fouls over/under
probability
82.8%
exp. goals
2.61
edge
+11%
The model disagrees with the majority
Its choice differs from the authors’ top selection — matches like this are exactly where it shows who adds value.
Head-to-head
02.05.26
2:1
Over 2.5 won
04.04.26
0:1
Under 2.5
22.03.26
1:3
Over 2.5 won
26.10.25
0:2
Under 2.5