Newcastle - Bournemouth 05.09.2026 14:30: score, statistics, forecasts
Newcastle
L
L
D
W
W
Bournemouth
W
D
L
L
D
Premier League
Regular Season - 3 | 2026 | England
St. James' Park
St. James' Park
xG 0.00
0.00
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Newcastle or draw
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Newcastle
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Bournemouth
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Newcastle
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Bournemouth
Under 2.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Double chance : Newcastle or draw
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Newcastle
57%
Bournemouth
43%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.25
3.05
Avg. corners per match
10.6
11.86
Avg. yellow cards per match
5
3.5
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Newcastle: In 14 matches in a row, a total of no less than 2 goals is scored
↓Newcastle: In 18 matches in a row, a total of no more than 5 goals is scored
↓Newcastle: In 20 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 8
↓Newcastle: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Newcastle - Bournemouth, match from 05.09.2026. This match will be officiated by R. Jones. We could see these clubs' games in several leagues and cups. It has already been 4 season the teams face each other. The most likely outcome is a win for Newcastle, judging by the odds of 2.1.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
1.28
Average CLV
—
Agreement
100%
Yellow cards over/under: Under 5.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +9.3%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
133% from average (1.5)
2
2
100% from average (2)
Expected goals (xG)
0% from average (1.4)
0
0
0% from average (1.61)
Possession
123% from average (46.5)
57%
43%
83% from average (52.07)
Corners
87% from average (4.6)
4
3
48% from average (6.21)
Yellow cards
83% from average (2.4)
2
3
150% from average (2)
110% from average (4.56)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
183% from average (10.4)
19
17
158% from average (10.79)
172% from average (20.89)
Shots on goal
67% from average (11.9)
8
17
116% from average (14.64)
Shots on target
44% from average (4.5)
2
5
108% from average (4.64)
Shots off target
91% from average (4.4)
4
5
95% from average (5.29)
Blocked shots
67% from average (3)
2
7
149% from average (4.71)
Shots from inside the box
68% from average (7.3)
5
9
109% from average (8.29)
Shots from outside the box
65% from average (4.6)
3
8
126% from average (6.36)
Passes
117% from average (391.2)
459
335
77% from average (435)
Successful passes
117% from average (321.7)
377
256
73% from average (352.21)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
64% from average (1.56)
1
1
61% from average (1.64)
Saves
100% from average (4)
4
0
0% from average (3)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Goal
9’
Marcus Tavernier
0
:1
Yellow Card
28’
Anthony Elanga
Own goal
35’
Malick Thiaw
0
:2
Goal
37’
Harvey Barnes
1
:2
The match has continued - the second half is underway
1
:2
Yellow Card
57’
Yoane Wissa
Substitution
63’
Matias Fernandez-Pardo
Joe Willock
Substitution
63’
Jacob Ramsey
Lewis Miley
Yellow Card
66’
Justin Kluivert
Yellow Card
71’
Matthias Jaissle
Substitution
76’
Lewis Cook
Tyler Adams
Substitution
76’
David Brooks
Justin Kluivert
Substitution
77’
Sean Steur
Nico González
Substitution
77’
Jacob Murphy
Anthony Elanga
Substitution
78’
Jacob Murphy
Anthony Elanga
Yellow Card
87’
Adrien Truffert
Goal
88’
Jacob Ramsey
2
:2
Substitution
89’
Daniel Jebbison
Marcus Tavernier
Substitution
89’
Ben Gannon-Doak
Rayan Vitor Simplício Rocha
Substitution
90’
Valentino Livramento
Lewis Hall
Yellow Card
90’+4’
Adam Smith
Substitution
90’+6’
Ryan Christie
Alex Scott
Match Completed
2
:2
Injuries and suspensions
Newcastle
J
Definitely will not play
Joelinton
Injury
DB
Definitely will not play
D. Burn
Ankle Injury
VL
In doubt
V. Livramento
Hamstring Injury
WO
Definitely will not play
W. Osula
Injury
Bournemouth
JA
Definitely will not play
J. Araujo
Thigh Injury
AA
Definitely will not play
A. Adli
Injury
EJ
Definitely will not play
E. J. Kroupi
Foot Injury
VM
Definitely will not play
V. Milosavljevic
Injury
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Newcastle
9
Y. Wissa
11
H. Barnes
28
J. Willock
19
A. Elanga
67
L. Miley
6
Nico González
3
L. Hall
4
S. Botman
12
M. Thiaw
37
A. Dedić
21
L. Horníček
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Bournemouth
9
Evanilson
16
M. Tavernier
19
J. Kluivert
37
Rayan
8
A. Scott
12
T. Adams
3
A. Truffert
14
António Silva
5
J. Hill
15
A. Smith
1
Đ. Petrović
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Newcastle - Bournemouth 05.09.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
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Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
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Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
3
13
2nd half
5
4
Result
8
17
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
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Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
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Newcastle
Across all matches
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Bournemouth
Across all matches
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All outcomes
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These are the referee's detailed match statistics Newcastle - Bournemouth 05.09.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes
Total Under
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Bookmakers
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Newcastle and Bournemouth before the match 05.09.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Newcastle - Bournemouth 05.09.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works