Aston Villa - Arsenal 31.08.2026 22:00: score, statistics, forecasts
Overview
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Teams
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI match predictions
AI prediction for this match is in this tab
Personal Meetings
Head 2 Head matches statistics between teams
AI-model
Independent of bookmaker odds
Match forecast
45%
confidence
Main prediction
Arsenal
Most likely outcome — Arsenal (2)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Aston Villa
10%
X
Draw
45%
2
Arsenal
45%
Totals prediction
Total · Arsenal
Under 3.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : Arsenal
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Aston Villa
0%
Arsenal
0%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric
Home
Away
Avg. goals per match
3.6
2.25
Avg. corners per match
8.33
8.46
Avg. yellow cards per match
3.11
2.69
Avg. red cards per match
0
0
Key trends
↑Aston Villa: In 14 matches in a row, a total of no less than 3 goals is scored
↓Aston Villa: In 5 matches in a row, a total of no more than 4 goals is scored
↓Aston Villa: In 13 matches in a row, the total number of yellow cards has not risen above 5
↓Aston Villa: 20 matches in a row, no red card has been shown to either the team or their opponents
Brief Overview
Aston Villa - Arsenal, the match will take place 31.08.2026. This match will be officiated by Jarred Gillett, Australia. Premier League - the only league where the clubs have met head-to-head, without ever facing each other in a single cup. It has already been 6 seasons the teams face each other. Odds 1.52 on a win Arsenal indicates that the away team should play stronger than the home team.
Picks on the match
verifier
Picks are locked before kick-off, the odds come from the reference line
Author consensus
verifier
1 prediction from 1 author · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Average odds
2.01
Average CLV
+4.15%
Agreement
100%
Corners over/under: Over 9.5
1 pick · 100%
Market ROI +2%
Match sections
Game Review →
Statistics, predictions, and trends for the match
Live center and statistics →
Match statistics, events, and team lineups
Coefficients →
Comparison of bookmaker odds by market and loads
Probabilities →
Bet probabilities based on a sample of teams, referee and head-to-head history
Team statistics →
Detailed Smart Tables with Filters
Referee statistics →
Referee stats with filters for cards and corners
AI prediction →
The model's prediction for this match's outcome and totals
Personal Meetings →
Head-to-head history and sample probabilities
Match Statistics
Goals
0% from average (2)
0
1
71% from average (1.4)
Expected goals (xG)
23% from average (1.46)
0.33
1.04
69% from average (1.5)
Possession
85% from average (46.11)
39%
61%
120% from average (50.85)
Corners
42% from average (4.78)
2
4
87% from average (4.62)
Yellow cards
192% from average (1.56)
3
1
81% from average (1.23)
71% from average (5.67)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
150% from average (11.33)
17
6
57% from average (10.54)
96% from average (24)
Shots on goal
59% from average (11.78)
7
7
53% from average (13.31)
Shots on target
0% from average (4.22)
0
2
48% from average (4.15)
Shots off target
110% from average (4.56)
5
4
84% from average (4.77)
Blocked shots
67% from average (3)
2
1
23% from average (4.38)
Shots from inside the box
36% from average (8.22)
3
5
56% from average (8.85)
Shots from outside the box
112% from average (3.56)
4
2
45% from average (4.46)
Passes
90% from average (376.44)
339
530
116% from average (455.31)
Successful passes
86% from average (316)
273
465
118% from average (392.85)
Pass accuracy
97% from average (83.22)
81%
88%
103% from average (85.46)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
0% from average (0.89)
0
8
369% from average (2.17)
Saves
32% from average (3.11)
1
0
0% from average (2)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Match Progress
The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:0
Yellow Card
29’
Christos Tzolis
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:0
Substitution
46’
E. Eze
C. Tzolis
Goal
59’
B. Saka
0
:1
Goal
59’
B. Saka
0
:2
Substitution
71’
M. Merino
M. Odegaard
Substitution
71’
Bruno Guimaraes
M. Lewis-Skelly
Substitution
71’
Bruno Guimaraes
M. Lewis-Skelly
Substitution
71’
M. Merino
M. Odegaard
Substitution
71’
T. Abraham
N. Jackson
Substitution
71’
Alysson
G. Hemmings
Substitution
71’
Alysson
G. Hemmings
Substitution
71’
T. Abraham
N. Jackson
Substitution
78’
A. Wan-Bissaka
M. Cash
Substitution
78’
A. Garnacho
R. Barkley
Substitution
79’
E. Konsa
C. Mosquera
Yellow Card
80’
Alysson
Yellow Card
81’
John McGinn
Substitution
85’
M. Zubimendi
D. Rice
Yellow Card
90’+6’
Ian Maatsen
Match Completed
0
:1
Injuries and suspensions
Aston Villa
LB
In doubt
L. Bailey
Muscle Injury
TA
In doubt
T. Abraham
Injury
AO
Definitely will not play
A. Onana
Knee Injury
JG
Definitely will not play
Joao Gomes
Red Card
JM
Definitely will not play
J. Manzambi
Knee Injury
BM
In doubt
B. Madjo
Ankle Injury
Arsenal
GJ
In doubt
Gabriel Jesus
Transfer negotiations
BG
In doubt
Bruno Guimaraes
Thigh Injury
WS
Definitely will not play
W. Saliba
Back Injury
JT
Definitely will not play
J. Timber
Ankle Injury
GM
Definitely will not play
G. Martinelli
Transfer negotiations
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Aston Villa
11
N. Jackson
53
G. Hemmings
10
E. Buendia
7
J. McGinn
6
R. Barkley
8
B. Kamara
22
I. Maatsen
14
P. Torres
3
V. Lindelof
2
M. Cash
1
Z. Suzuki
Formation · 4-2-3-1
Arsenal
29
K. Havertz
17
C. Tzolis
8
M. Odegaard
7
B. Saka
49
M. Lewis-Skelly
41
D. Rice
33
R. Calafiori
6
Gabriel
3
C. Mosquera
4
B. White
1
D. Raya
Starting lineups
#
Player
#
Player
Substitutions
#
Player
#
Player
These are the odds for the match Aston Villa - Arsenal 31.08.2026
Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients
These are bet probabilities based on the sample
Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
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Personal Meetings
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Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
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Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.
These are detailed team statistics
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half
3
4
2nd half
4
3
Result
7
7
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
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Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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Aston Villa
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
All outcomes
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Loss
Draw
Arsenal
Across all matches
Home only
Away only
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Win
Loss
Draw
These are the referee's detailed match statistics Aston Villa - Arsenal 31.08.2026
We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
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Fouls
Yellow cards
Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
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These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)
ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
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Goals total
1x2 goals
Corners total
1x2 corners
Fouls total
Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
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All outcomes
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Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100
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Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6
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Match prediction value calculator
Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.
These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Aston Villa and Arsenal before the match 31.08.2026
We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack
Possession and style
Discipline
Defense
Goals
Shots on target
Shots on goal
Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5
10
15
20
50
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This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Aston Villa - Arsenal 31.08.2026
This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works