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Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Nagoya Grampus
J1 League

Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus 02.09.2026 13:00: score, statistics, forecasts

Sanfrecce Hiroshima Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Position: 4 (+9)
W
W
D
W
D
Finished
3
0
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1st half 0:0
2nd half 3:0
02.09.2026 13:00
Nagoya Grampus Nagoya Grampus
Position: 13 (-9)
L
L
W
L
W
J1 League
Regular Season - 5 | 2027 | Japan
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima
xG 2.22 0.58
AI-model
Match forecast
Independent of bookmaker odds
45% confidence
Main prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Most likely outcome — Draw (X)
Outcome distribution
probability
1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
45%
X
Draw
45%
2
Nagoya Grampus
10%
Totals prediction
Total · Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Under 3.5
home team's goals
Total · Nagoya Grampus
Under 1.5
away team's goals
Combo bet
Winner : Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Comparison with the Poisson model
AI model estimate
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
88%
Nagoya Grampus
12%
Meeting Statistics
Average figures for head-to-head meetings
Metric Home Away
Avg. goals per match 2.85 3.2
Avg. corners per match 9.23 10.27
Avg. yellow cards per match 3 3
Avg. red cards per match 0 0
Key trends
Brief Overview
Sanfrecce Hiroshima will face Nagoya Grampus 02.09.2026 as the home team. The referee will be Hiroyuki Kimura, Japan. The teams' matches against each other have taken place in the following leagues and cups: J1 League, J-League Cup, Emperor Cup. The teams have already faced each other more than once in the seasons 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026. The favorites in this match are the home team. For a win by Sanfrecce Hiroshima the odds are just 1.51.
Author consensus verifier
2 picks from 2 authors · how the locked picks are spread across markets
Author rating →
Average odds
1.85
Average CLV
-4.57%
Agreement
50%
Yellow cards over/under: Over 2.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI +12.9%
Total goals (match): Under 3.5 1 pick · 50% Market ROI +9.9%

Match sections

This is the LIVE match center Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus 02.09.2026

Detailed match statistics, match events, and team lineups

Match Statistics

Goals
154% from average (1.95)
3
0
0% from average (1.6)
Expected goals (xG)
108% from average (2.05)
2.22
0.58
39% from average (1.48)
Possession
99% from average (53.38)
53%
47%
86% from average (54.4)
Corners
33% from average (6.15)
2
1
19% from average (5.4)
Yellow cards
76% from average (1.31)
1
2
313% from average (0.64)
96% from average (3.14)
Red cards
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
- from average (0)
Fouls
108% from average (10.15)
11
6
79% from average (7.6)
69% from average (24.6)
Shots on goal
93% from average (17.23)
16
3
22% from average (13.8)
Shots on target
117% from average (6)
7
1
19% from average (5.13)
Shots off target
81% from average (6.15)
5
1
19% from average (5.33)
Blocked shots
79% from average (5.08)
4
1
30% from average (3.33)
Shots from inside the box
70% from average (12.85)
9
3
33% from average (9.13)
Shots from outside the box
160% from average (4.38)
7
0
0% from average (4.67)
Passes
119% from average (448.46)
532
472
102% from average (460.67)
Successful passes
124% from average (359.85)
447
386
102% from average (377.2)
Pass accuracy
106% from average (79.15)
84%
82%
101% from average (80.87)
Attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Dangerous attacks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Offsides
137% from average (1.46)
2
3
155% from average (1.93)
Saves
39% from average (2.54)
1
4
111% from average (3.6)
Substitutions
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Goal kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Attempts to score
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Free kicks
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Throw-ins
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)
Safe play with the ball
- from average (0)
0
0
- from average (0)

Match Progress

The match has begun - the first half is underway
0
:
0
Yellow Card
17’
Sho Inagaki
Substitution
45’
Sébastien Haller
Takumu Kawamura
The match has continued - the second half is underway
0
:
0
Substitution
46’
S. Haller
T. Kawamura
Goal
71’
Mutsuki Kato
1
:
0
Goal
72’
M. Kato
2
:
0
Substitution
73’
Shun Ayukawa
Mutsuki Kato
Substitution
73’
Yotaro Nakajima
Hayao Kawabe
Substitution
73’
Y. Nakajima
H. Kawabe
Substitution
73’
S. Ayukawa
M. Kato
Substitution
74’
Hidemasa Koda
Yuya Asano
Substitution
74’
T. Koyamatsu
R. Izumi
Substitution
74’
Yota Sato
Yuki Nogami
Substitution
74’
Y. Sato
Y. Nogami
Substitution
74’
H. Koda
Y. Asano
Goal
80’
A. Suzuki
3
:
0
Substitution
82’
K. Nagai
Y. Yamagishi
Substitution
85’
T. Shichi
S. Higashi
Yellow Card
87’
Taishi Matsumoto
Goal
90’
S. Haller
4
:
0
Substitution
90’
S. Koshimichi
A. Suzuki
Goal
90’+1’
Sébastien Haller
5
:
0
Yellow Card
90’+5’
Yota Sato
Match Completed
3
:
0
Formation · 3-4-2-1 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
10 A. Suzuki
8 T. Kawamura
11 M. Kato
7 S. Higashi
14 T. Matsumoto
6 H. Kawabe
5 N. Arai
19 S. Sasaki
4 H. Araki
15 S. Nakano
99 I. Ouchi
Formation · 3-4-2-1 Nagoya Grampus
11 Y. Yamagishi
22 Y. Kimura
7 R. Izumi
27 K. Nakayama
31 T. Takamine
15 S. Inagaki
9 Y. Asano
55 S. Tokumoto
13 H. Fujii
2 Y. Nogami
35 A. Pisano

Starting lineups

#
Player
99
~
~
~
+1
15
~
~
~
+2
4
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
5
~
~
~
+2
6
~
~
~
+4
14
~
1
~
+4
7
~
~
~
~
8
~
~
~
~
10
~
~
1
+4
11
~
~
~
~
#
Player
35
~
~
~
+1
2
~
~
~
~
13
~
~
~
+1
55
~
~
~
+1
9
~
~
~
~
15
~
1
~
+2
31
~
~
~
+2
27
~
~
~
~
7
~
~
~
+2
22
~
~
~
+2
11
~
~
~
+2

Substitutions

#
Player
16
~
~
~
~
18
~
~
~
~
23
~
~
~
+2
22
~
~
1
+5
37
~
~
~
~
32
~
~
~
+1
35
~
~
~
+2
46
~
~
~
~
1
~
~
~
~
#
Player
33
~
~
~
~
19
~
~
~
~
58
~
~
~
+2
18
~
~
~
~
41
~
~
~
~
3
~
1
~
+2
30
~
~
~
~
16
~
~
~
~
30
~
~
~
~
49
~
~
~
~

These are the odds for the match Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus 02.09.2026

Find the best odds and evaluate the dynamics of betting loads. We offer pre-match odds. We show the top betting loads first, and then coefficients

These are bet probabilities based on the sample

Choose a sample source to see value odds for key markets
Sample source
Teams Referee Personal Meetings
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Source: teams · sample 10 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Bet Probabilities by Sample — Goals
Value odds for key markets based on the selected sample — teams.

These are detailed team statistics

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data for home and away
Statistics by half
1st half 7
1
2nd half 9
3
Result 16
3
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Combined for both teams
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw
Nagoya Grampus
Across all matches Home only Away only
All outcomes Win Loss Draw

These are the referee's detailed match statistics Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus 02.09.2026

We offer referee statistics on 3 indicators. Fill in the filters below to see the summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Fouls Yellow cards Red cards
Sample settings
Sample: 20 events · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

These are machine learning-based predictions (Machine Learning, ML)

ML predictions are an exclusive and unique feature of TheAnalytic. Our servers run special mathematical algorithms that calculate team strength and perform analysis based on pseudo-random event prediction algorithms. We don't take these predictions “somewhere”, we developed the system and implemented it ourselves, exclusively for our website. The algorithm uses machine learning technologies and conventional calculation methods. To help the community understand what we offer, we disclose the methodology in a separate article. Important! The match predictions we publish are not a call for betting and are intended solely for “highlight” You need matches or parameters for independent analysis. The ML system does not replace humans!
Select a market to show match predictions for
Goals total 1x2 goals Corners total 1x2 corners Fouls total Cards total
Sample settings
All outcomes · any probability · any odds
Outcome
All outcomes Total Under Total Over
Probability range
Probability from 60 to 100 Any probability
Odds range
Odds from 1.3 to 6 Any odds
Bookmakers
Pinnacle Bet365 1xBet Fonbet

Match prediction value calculator

Thinking about your prediction for this match? Check the bookmaker's odds value using the calculator to determine whether a bet is worth making. The calculator will show the statistical probability of a winning bet and compare it to the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds. Learn more about how this tool works and become familiar with the algorithm for calculating the statistical rating.

These are detailed statistics of head-to-head meetings Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Nagoya Grampus before the match 02.09.2026

We offer team statistics for 9 metrics. Fill in the filters below to see summary data
Select a metric for analysis
Attack Possession and style Discipline Defense
Goals Shots on target Shots on goal Corners
Sample settings
Sample: 20 head-to-head meetings · all seasons and leagues
Seasons and leagues
All available seasons
All available leagues
Number of events
5 10 15 20 50 All

This tool will help you find the right trend for a match Sanfrecce Hiroshima - Nagoya Grampus 02.09.2026

This tool, based on the entered probability, will show the trend operating within that probability for teams, referees, and championships. Learn more about how this tool works